Tips for Mornington Trainers & Jockeys 30/9/23

Which trainers and jockeys boast the most lethal strike rates heading into Caulfield on Saturday?

Fresh off finding $12 pop Our Last Cash at Flemington last week, Cody Lane crunches the numbers again to reveal the key statistics hidden in the form guide.

You can see his top picks for the Underwood Stakes Day meeting here.

 

 

Trainers to Follow

Adrian McGregor

For a trainer with a very small stable, McGregor has featured in this column a number of times in recent months.

He continues to produce winners and do so at a very profitable level.

McGregor has only had 3 runners at Mornington previously and has seen 2 of them salute and return a whopping 721% POT!

He's also been a profitable trainer to back his whole career, going at a 15.4% winning strike rate and 49.5% POT.

McGregor will be looking to continue his winning ways with his 2 runners on the program:

• ‘The Kings Gospel’ ($16) in race 5
• ‘Fearless Writer’ ($12) in race 8

 

Michelle Payne

Another trainer who only has a few runners in her stable, but continues to produce winners paying big prices.

She has performed well at Mornington throughout her training career, boasting a 28.6% winning strike rate and returning a ridiculous 202.9% POT.

Payne's recent form has been impressive, with 15 winners from her last 100 runners.

She has 3 runners on Saturday:

• ‘Sky Horse’ ($5.50) in race 3
• ‘Oubitsa’ ($10) in race 4
• ‘Smokin’ Princess’ ($7) in race 5

 

Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

It has been a while since the duo have featured in this column, but they are beginning to hit form at the right time of year.

Mornington is a happy hunting ground for the team, with a 22.5% winning strike rate from 36 winners.

Maher & Eustace have 17 runners going around on Saturday at 3 different racetracks, but only have 3 at Mornington:

• ‘London Point’ ($7.50) in race 3
• ‘Maserartie Bay’ ($6) in race 7
• ‘Queen Takes King’ ($7.50) in race 7

 

Phillip Stokes

Stokes is tracking along nicely, with 17 winners from his past 100 runners.

Expect him to improve that mark at Mornington on Saturday.

Stokes boasts an impressive 22.4% winning strike rate at the track with 17 winners.

He has 4 runners going around at Mornington:

• ‘Oracle Son’ ($5.50) in race 2
• ‘The Brill Building’ ($3.70) in race 4
• ‘Prancing Spirit’ ($2.40) in race 6
• ‘Dick Whittington’ ($6) in race 7

 

Jockeys to Follow

Damian Lane

By far and away the jockey you want to be following most at this meeting.

Lane has been in sparkling form, with 25 winners from his last 100 runners.

His record at Mornington reads almost as good, with a 20.9% winning strike rate over his career.

Lane has 5 rides on the program at Mornington and some top chances engaged:

• ‘Acappella Moon’ ($11) in race 1
• ‘Kwoi Hoi’ ($15) in race 4
• ‘Aravene’ ($3) in race 5
• ‘Speedtail’ ($5) in race 6
• ‘Lady Di Di’ ($3.70) in race 8

 

Jamie Mott

Mott has always taken a likening to Mornington throughout his career, with an impressive 18.3% winning strike rate including over 70 winners at the track.

Mott will be looking to build on that handy record on Saturday as he climbs aboard 6 runners:

• ‘Zousko’ ($9) in race 1
• ‘Hydro Star’ ($7) in race 2
• ‘Mere Fancy’ ($7) in race 3
• ‘Grand Pierro’ ($10) in race 4
• ‘Mr Tickles’ ($8) in race 6
• ‘Russian Benefits’ ($51) in race 8

 

There are loads of Mornington tips for Saturday's racing in our Horse Racing Tips market at thegreattipoff.com.