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  • Wednesday, 18 September 2019
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EarlyMarketMovers

17/8/19 Horse racing tips from early market moves


Pros making noise

A number of vicious moves have been seen in early betting at both Caulfield and Kensington this week.

The Caulfield card is studded with stakes level events, where pro punters have been active early in identifying the mispriced runners.

Last week we struck with two winners at Rosehill and we look to continue the success this week at both key venues, including a rare Saturday card on the Randwick Kensington surface.

 

Caulfield tips 

Caulfield Tips

 

Diamond Effort

Has been given one soft trial in preparation for this first-up assignment and he rounded off last campaign with two back-to-back wins.

I suspect that the stable are seeing a very forward horse at home, who is doing everything right at trackwork.

She loves to ride the speed, but they may opt to take cover here from a wide draw (gate 16). That could be the key advantage, in what is likely to be a fast run race. 

 

Rat With Gold Tooth

She's always in the market, where at her last start she was hard late in betting before just missing  by 0.2 lengths in the Mildura Cup.

The SP profile suggests she is very good and this alone gives great confidence to back her.

The Paul Preusker stable are very shrewd and can often set one up for a betting plunge. 

Watch for anther firm in betting late and follow. 

 

Age Of Chivalry

Had genuine excuses first-up at Mooney Valley, where he was held up on turning into the straight before getting home hard to finish 5 of 12.

Given any luck here, he should atone considering he meets a similar grade.

This horse carried a huge boom last prep, when he only missed a placing on one out of six occasions including two victories.

Gets the gun run midfield with cover and should blow them all away. Yes.  

 

Bivouac   

Is a genuine stakes performer, who strikes a small field and a race which does lack depth in quality. 

He was considered Golden Slipper class as a two-year-old and although not running there, he came out to win the Kindergarten Stakes impressively.

Just needs to have returned in good order as a three-year-old to be winning this with ease.

Bowman to get the job done. Yes. 

 

Randwick Kensington   

Randwick Tips

 

Velocita 

Has the popular James McDonald/ Chris Waller combination going for her and also represents Star Thoroughbreds, who Waller loves to have success for.

She will get back to near last and given any tempo up front, will be unleashing hell over the final 200m.

J Mac will be out to impress in Hugh Bowman's absence, who has opted to ride in Melbourne as Godolphin's number one.

His motivation to prove himself will be a factor all day. 

 

Pandemic     

Won well on debut at Wyong, after being heavily backed from $2.50 into $2.00 late.

The stable know when to bring them to town and the horse must be showing enough, otherwise he would be entered at Kembla Grange. 

The Speed Map looks ideal from gate 2, where he can tag the leaders and sit just in behind throughout before darting through. Yes.

 

Designer Maid 

Returns from a Brisbane trip to be the subject of a long odds betting move here ($26 into $14).

She didn’t do much at all at Eagle Farm, when she finished well of them near last.

This makes the market support here very interesting and the Lee’s stable do know how to set them up for a bet.

Would need to see one more push to have confidence. Watch betting late. 

 

All Too Royal 

Has been hit by a flood of money, with most betting operators taking a number of big bets. 

The Maher/Eustace stable have him entered here for some very high profile owners (Vinery Stud and Neil Werrett), who will expect results.

He loves it first-up (3:2-0-0) and did trial well leading in, after being asked not to do much.

The support looks warranted. 

If you like to know the performance of a form expert before you follow them, check-out our horse racing tips page where every tipster has validated profit statistics displayed against their name.

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Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

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