11/4/20 Saturday racing Tips: Lays of the Day

For the final day of The Championships, we have found two favoured runners that face significant speed map challenges and will need to absorb fierce early pressure.

I expect the bigger betting syndicates to oppose each of these runners as market liquidity builds. 

Both are likely to start longer than their current quotes. Avoid.  

 

Randwick Race 4 #2 Away Game $3.30

The Magic Millions winner has been up a long time now and with the Grand Final (Golden Slipper) over, this is a complete afterthought.

I’d much prefer to be with those on the fresher side, who can still be on a steep upward performance trajectory. 

She was blessed last start in the Golden Slipper, on a day that heavily favoured those racing close to speed and she managed to find the best lane in the straight. 

The speed map has this developing into a fast run race and she will be forced to absorb some early pressure from a number of runners drawn wide.

Expect a significant market drift out beyond $4.00 when the bigger syndicates oppose her late in betting. Avoid. 

 

Randwick Race 9 #17 Funstar $2.80

The boom three-year-old filly takes on the older horses for the first time here and although the drop in weight down to 54.5kg is enticing, I suspect she won’t find this easy.

James McDonald is almost certain to push forward, considering the light weight and perceived fitness edge following the recent 2000m run. However, others will also be keen to go forward early and contest the lead.

Expect her to absorb plenty of early pressure, and there is a distinct possibility J Mac gets caught wide on a limb throughout.

There is also a query over her physical condition, following the testing runs she's encountered on rain affected surfaces recently. This can take its toll on a young horse.

No doubt she is top shelf quality, however the set-up here simply does not suit considering the wide draw in gate 13 and fast tempo. Lay.

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