Form Guide Lay

3/8/19 Horse racing Lays of the Day for Saturday races

Exposed and weighed down

In this week’s edition of Lays of the Day, we focus on two runners that will be hugely popular with the “non-price sensitive” public mug money.

Both will attract interest due to an exposed profile, with the one at Randwick likely to be a popular cross-sport multi roll for the rank and file punter.

If you're looking for long-term profits, always bet against the horses weighed down by public money. Both of these selections fit this profile. Lay. 

 

Randwick Race 2 #7 True Detective $2.00 

I doubt he gets the right run here, with an abundance of speed engaged around him when launching from a mid draw (barrier 6).

The rider will be forced to either burn early, or take hold and race wide. 

Both of these options will make winning a challenging task and the short price does not reflect this. 

The public mug money will come thick and fast due to the ‘Waller Factor' and you can expect him to be included in mug multi rolls all across the country. 

There is plenty of quality elsewhere in this field and that looks to be where the value lies.

Expect a significant market drift late in betting. Avoid. 

 

Moonee Valley Race 7 #4 Masculino $3.90

Has been up a while now as he lines up for his sixth run in, and being deep in the prep means he's one run closer to being over the top.

His public profile is now very well exposed and he'll be the one the mugs back across the tote boards. 

Whilst the recent form is sound, he has found one better at his past two starts and I believe he meets better qaulity in this field.

Moonee Valley often requires a perfectly timed, uninterrupted run and the inside draw for an off-speed horse can work against.

Having drawn barrier one and with the main speed horses drawn out, Masculino is likely to be crossed and held up. From there, he'll need plenty of luck to extricate and sweep home.

Expect him to be much longer in the market by the time they line-up and he should be avoided at all costs. Lay.

Punters and expert form analysts are often obligated to tip in every race on a program. It's their best bets that represent their own opinion. We weight the tips they flag as best bets higher, and we show their performance as staking profit on the horse racing tipster leaderboard at theGreatTipOff.com

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

25/01/20 Harness racing tips: Albion Park

Despite only an eight race card sheduled for Albion Park on Saturday night, there are some very nice races with both t.....

Jan 25, 2020 10:32AM
READ MORE

22/01/20 SKY Racing Tips review

 Tony Brassel (NSW) $1,550 cash profit, 27% POT Follow .....

Jan 25, 2020 09:46AM
READ MORE

24/01/20 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Mark Hunter review

Mark Hunter delivered a hefty profit for all his followers last week. His Flemington tips generated a bumper profit o.....

Jan 25, 2020 09:46AM
READ MORE

25/1/20 Caulfield Tips and best bets

Caulfield plays host to a strong nine-race card this Saturday, where the rail is out 6m the entire circuit.  The track .....

Jan 24, 2020 03:42PM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Today's Racing Top 5

Gartman
Punter
420% POT
thedott
Punter
420% POT
trevjess
Pro
420% POT
LeoBar
Pro
70% POT
tino15
Punter
30% POT
Full Leaderboard
Michael Manl..
420% POT
Howard Walt..
70% POT
Ray Thomas
70% POT
Shayne OCass
70% POT
Gary Kliese
70% POT
 
Michael Manl.. 420% POT
Howard Walt.. 70% POT
Gary Kliese 70% POT
Shayne OCass 70% POT
Ray Thomas 70% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

25/1/20 Caulfield Tips and best bets

Caulfield plays host to a strong nine-race card this Saturday, where the rail is out 6m the entire circuit.  The track .....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Ascot tips and best bets

Summer racing is back at Ascot this Saturday for the Australia Day long weekend. After a week of mild weather.....

READ MORE

24/1/20 Moonee Valley Tips: Australia Stakes Preview

Distance 1200m Grade Group 2  Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $200,000 .....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Caulfield Tips: Blue Diamond Fillies Preview

Distance 1000m Grade Group 3  Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $160,000 .....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

We struck at both key venues last week, including the ultra impressive two-year-old Cellsabeel in the opener at Rosehill.....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Randwick tips and best bets

A drying Royal Randwick plays host to a competitive nine-race card this Saturday.  With fine weather predicted in the l.....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2020 S92 thegreattipoff.com

Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Users must be at least 18 years old.

thegreattipoff.com (the "site") is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our Terms and Conditions are listed here.