• Join
  • Login
  • GTO Twitter
  • GTO Facebook
  • 22:24:48 AEST
  • Sunday, 19 May 2019
  • Gamble Responsibly 18+
Sunlight

9/3/19 Flemington Tips: Newmarket Handicap

Tagged: Flemington

Light weight special

Distance 1200m
Grade Group 1 
Track Rating Good 4
Prizemoney $1,250,000
Class Handicap
2018 winner Redkirk Warrior ($7)

The time honoured Newmarket (first run in 1874) always attracts the nation's best sprinting talent, with the capacity field of 24 and handicap conditions providing plenty of intrigue.

This year's edition features no fewer than four 3yo's, each with a genuine winning hope.

I am with the most favoured of the 3yo brigade, who won't know herself carrying the feather weight of 50.5kg.

She will look to dictate from either on or close to the speed, and appears very likely to be there at the end.  

 

Race Track Flemington Track Traits

Flemington is currently rated a Good 4 with the rail out 4m the entire circuit and fine conditions predicted for Saturday.

Last time out at Flemington the inside draws held no significant disadvantage for straight racing. 

This surprised many punters, who were under the assumption that the middle to outside section down the straight is the place to be.

This week, I expext the riders to revert back to the normal pattern of steering to the middle and outside lanes, which will favour the wider draws. 

Market Movers Racing Market Movers

Race favourite Osborne Bulls has had some support ($4.20 into $3.90) whilst Zousain is a notable drifter in betting ($12 out to $17).

 

Horse Racing Key Runners

#1 Redkirk Warrior $26  

Returns to defend his 2018 winner's crown, however looks well below the form shown last season.

It seems as though the arduous trip and associated campaign to Royal Ascot last year flattened him and they often never come back from that.

Well found by the handicapper and unlikely to trouble most of these. No.

 

#2 Santa Ana Lane $13  

Class gelding who dominated here last start to win the Group 1 VRC Sprint Classic.

First-up is ok (8:2-0-2), however he is better later in the prep and could be a little vulnerable in this with a big weight.

Can certainly win, yet looks a shade unders at the current $13 and you can expect a market drift out beyond this price.

Better value elsewhere.   

 

#4 Osborne Bulls $4.20 > $3.90  

Was a huge run to just miss first-up in the Black Caviar Lighting, when he charged late from a near impossible position.

The stable continue to boast how good he is in the media and they look spot on with their assessment.

Will get well back, before steaming home over the top of most. Leading chance. 

Osborne Bulls

 

#6 In Her Time $15

Drew inside and won the Lightning well. She defied a historically strong straight track bias on that occasion, which suggests she is hard to overcome.

Corey Brown will have her sucking up down the outside section and in behind for the entire trip, before unleashing hell at the 200m mark.

She is all quality and the Lees stable have her going better than ever.

Must be considered a top hope. The value! ($15)

 

#14 Eduardo $9

Was ultra impressive in the Oakleigh Plate when second behind Booker, after working hard early and riding the speed throughout.

Second-up form is good (2:1-1-0) and he has had some luck drawing outside in gate 21. 

He is as tough as teak from out in front and they will have to be very good to catch him, racing hard up against the outside. Yes.       

 

#20 Graff $8.50

Boom 3yo colt who was a touch luckless in the Lightning first-up, when he raced fierce early before charging late.

If the "Wizard" from the west gets him to settle and is provided the right cover and cart into it, there is no doubt he has the ability to win.

Just needs the brakes to come and we could see this good colt take the next step. Huge threat. 

Graff

 

#21 Zousain $12 > $17

Was the victim of a woeful ride last start when Craig Williams decided not to press forward and take control from the onset.

He had excuses that day, however the shine has slightly come off following his last start loss in a race he was expected to dominate. 

The mug punters will drop off here and it is a good time to chime in if you like him (betting against the crowd).

This could be the best price you ever see him jump at and the pro's will be very interested. Yes. 

 

#22 Sunlight $12

Looks the one here who will give a great sight from out in front or close to speed.

She is a proven Group performer, having won the Coolmore Stud Stakes to finish last prep. She then ran a brave third in the Lightning in her return this prep.

Her weight is the key and with only 50.5kg to carry, she won't know herself in this. 

Will sustain a blistering speed throughout and simply break the hearts of a few of those higher in the weights. 

 

Of The Others

#19 Encryption was brave last start in the Oakleigh Plate, when he rattled late from well back to grab second behind Booker.

The stable whispers are that he is very good and the price looks a touch overs here at $21. 

No weight and could surprise a few at odds. 

 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Sunlight

2nd  Osborne Bulls 

3rd  Graff

4th  Encryption

Share On:

Top Stories

EarlyMarketMovers

18/5/19 Horse racing tips from early market moves

This week sees pro punters focus their attention on Queensland, with an abundance of stakes level racing at Doomben. Fl.....

May 17, 2019 12:10PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Flemington Barrier Jump

18/5/19 Flemington tips and best bets for Saturday Racing

Flemington plays host to a competitive nine-race card this Saturday and with big fields engaged, there is plenty of.....

May 17, 2019 11:33AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Spright

18/5/19 Morphettville tips and best bets: The Goodwood

Distance 1200m Grade Group 1 Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $750,000 .....

May 17, 2019 10:21AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Rosehill Front On

18/5/19 Rosehill tips and best bets for Saturday Racing

Rosehill Gardens plays host to a nine-race card on Saturday, with the Listed Lord Mayor's Cup as the feature race on.....

May 17, 2019 09:21AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Today's Racing Top 5

thedott
Pro
218% POT
osc1gem
Punter
208% POT
MiltonRash
Pro
205% POT
Bawheid
Pro
169% POT
DeaneLester
Pro
100% POT
Full Leaderboard
Alex Marsh
228% POT
Ernie Mannin..
214% POT
Scott Embry
171% POT
Kevin Casey
145% POT
Allan Hull
110% POT
 
Alex Marsh 228% POT
Scott Embry 171% POT
Kevin Casey 145% POT
Allan Hull 110% POT
Shayne Montg.. 36% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

Rosehill Front On

18/5/19 Rosehill tips and best bets for Saturday Racing

Rosehill Gardens plays host to a nine-race card on Saturday, with the Listed Lord Mayor's Cup as the feature race on.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Form Guide Lay

Saturday racing Lays of the Day 18 May 2019

This week’s lay selections feature a favoured theory of this column, where we take on those horses who put in a massive .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Horse racing general image Melbourne

18/5/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Mark Hunter review

Mark Hunter's tips gave punters something to cheer about on Saturday.  Three of his racing tips greeted the judge at .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Horse racing barriers 2

18/5/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: David Gately review

David Gately's racing tip package for last Saturday included selections at the four major meets. The charasmatic Melb.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Men reading racing form guide

17/05/19 Horse Racing Tips Review

The Queensland racing carnival kicked off in style last week, as the Adelaide campaign rolled on.  We take a look at .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Horses Generic

18/5/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Deane Lester review

Racing guru Deane Lester has been in great touch lately, having notched up 17% POT over the past 30 days with average wi.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Copyright  © 2019 S93 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.