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8/2/20 Harness racing tips: Albion Park

Saturday night harness racing

A competitive ten race card lines up at Albion Park tonight. There has been a lot of rain around all week, so it's a bit of a guess as to how the track will play.

The track staff have had all week to prepare for the rain, so I have to assume it will be in decent racing order. 

 

Michael's tips have generated $22,500 profit from $100 win bets over the past 180 days.

Below are his three best bets for Saturday night's Albion Park meeting. To get his entire tipping package, check-out his tips page here.

You can also get free tip alerts here, so you never miss Michael's tips again!


Race 1 BADCOCK GROUP OF COMPANIES BAND 5 PACE ; 2138MS ; 5.10PM

Open sort of a race to kick things off.

It's hard to go past ARTHUR LOWE (11) I think. He defied a bad map to win last time and this race doesn't look a whole lot harder. He is racing in peak form and can be very strong late. Hard to hold out.

LEXUS ON THE BEACH (2) is very much ready to win. He has a stablemate drawn inside him who has handed up from the inside gate in the past. There is a small chance of that happening tonight and if he finds the front, it will be game over I think.

Very strong horse who can race on the speed and will stay all day.

If CHARMING MAJOR (1) holds the front, it gives JUMPING JOLT (8) his shot. He is a weak sort of a horse, but with a gun run behind the leader, he will be very dangerous late. He rounds out the main winning chances.

CHARMING MAJOR (1) gets a good gate and might try to take these all the way, but even from the front end I only see him as a small chance. Not too sure he gets too warm for this driver. 

Harness Racing Tips Race 1 Tips

1st  ARTHUR LOWE (11)

2nd  LEXUS ON THE BEACH (2) 

3rd  JUMPING JOLT (8) 

4th CHARMING MAJOR (1)

 

Betting Market Michael's Market

The 'Rated' prices column indicates the price I have calculated for them using my assessment of their winning chance.

Race 1

 #

HORSE

RATED

 

1

CHARMING MAJOR

$9.60

 

2

LEXUS ON THE BEACH

$3.90

 

3

URBAN GIRL

$23.60

 

4

COREY WILLIAM

$31.80

 

5

WEEDONS EXPRESS

$302

 

6

IM MAJOR HARRY

$43.00

 

7

SWEET AS

$9000

 

8

JUMPING JOLT

$4.20

 

9

JUST DEAL IT

$34.30

 

10

CHAPTER ONE

$207

  11

ARTHUR LOWE

$3.90
  12

DAPPER

$98.10

 

Race 4 TAB ASPIRATIONAL PACE ; 2138MS ; 6.40PM 

LIFES BLACK (11) is a nice horse who has had a few runs back from a spell now and should be close to fully fit. He gets a good driver change tonight and is sure to go well here.

I do suspect that he will be well found and I am not keen on any silly odds, but he is the horse to beat with the in-form driver on.

LITTLELIONELJAMES (3) has a tricky draw here, but I really liked his last trial. They went very good time and he did it dead-set jogging.

If he can find a nice spot early, he can give these a real scare late at what should be a nice price. Will do a good job this time in. 

COBBLER LANE (8) is going along ok, but gets a very good draw tonight. He looks likely to get the gun run behind the leader and from that spot is a definite chance. This horse gets the advantages on my speed map. 

CONDAFEW (12) is going very well and has been ready to win for a long time. The extra distance of this race helps him a lot and if he can find a nice ride home on the back of the right horse, he can win this race.

He is normally a nice price so he is another value runner that I will happily have something on. 

MAJOR LUCKY (1) gets the good gate and will likely lead, but there are some handy ones in this race that are chasing him and I think he is a risk late. 

LUCKY UNLUCKY (6) will also be well fancied and will run well but the gate makes it very tricky. Not potting the horse, just the gate/map. 

Harness Racing TipsRace 4 Tips

1st  LIFES BLACK (11)

2nd  LITTLELIONELJAMES (3)

3rd  COBBLER LANE (8) 

4th CONDAFEW (12)

 

Market MoversMichael's Market

Race 4

#

HORSE

RATED

 

1

MAJOR LUCKY

$8.00

 

2

TOO GOOD FOR YOU

$45.00

 

3

LITTLELIONELJAMES

$5.50

 

4

DOOLITTLE DOOZZIE

$784

 

5

MYBELLA ROSE

$38.70

 

6

LUCKY UNLUCKY

$9.30

 

7

DONNY JONES

$251

 

8

COBBLER LANE

$5.90

  9

DOLLARBILL

$173
  10

JEROSH

$367
  11

LIFES BLACK

$4.70
  12

CONDAFEW

$6.90

 

Race 6: REMEMBERING THE EMCEE OPEN PACE ; 1660MS ; 7.50PM 

COLT THIRTY ONE (12) goes on top here, but at my rated price it is very unlikely I will be backing him. Yes he is the best horse in the race, but he is around odds-on in early fixed odds markets. From the outside of the front line over the mile, with no stablemates in the race to help him, he is going to need luck and be very good.

The horse to beat, but he's silly odds for mine. I think we can bet around him and find some value.

MY MASTERCRAFTSMAN (2) is an underrated horse. A few runs back he sat outside of ROCK WITH SAM (6) and ran a monster race.

I really hope they put the foot down tonight and just try to go all the way, as I have no doubts if in front, the horse will just keep running. Looks a very good price and an easy bet. Value. 

JUSTALITTLE TORQUE (1) is also massive odds in early markets and has a genuine chance. If my map is right, she will get the gun run behind the leader and can be very dangerous up the sprint lane.

For point to point speed, she is as quick as anything around. She also looks a very good value bet. 

MATTGREGOR (9) is never far away in these types of races and has a hope. He will have to work at some stage but he can't be left out. 

I am very happy to pot ZAHVEN BANNER (3). If he's parked, that should be the end of him. 

ROCK WITH SAM (6) is also quite short in early markets, but I'm not too sure what he is supposed to do from the gate to justify the price? Have to pot him. 

DREAM TO SHARE (8) is also a massive price and can get its favourite run along the fence. Isn't the worst each way bet you will ever have. 

Harness Racing TipsRace 6 Tips

1st  COLT THIRTY ONE (12) ** Top rated runner but very unlikely to be a "bet" **

2nd  MY MASTECRAFTSMAN (2)

3rd  JUSTALITTLE TORQUE (1)

4th  MATTGREGOR (9)

 

Market MoversMichael's Market

Race 6

#

HORSE

RATED

 

1

JUSTALITTLE TORQUE

$7.00

 

2

MY MASTERCRAFTSMAN

$4.50

 

3

ZAHVAN BANNER

$31.50

 

4

ALWAYS IN COMMAND

$27.10

 

5

SAMS THE MASTER

$141

 

6

ROCK WITH SAM

$14.90

 

7

NORTHVIEW HUSTLER

$45.80

 

8

DREAM TO SHARE

$13.80

 

8

MATTGREGOR

$7.00

  10

GLENFERRIE HOOD

$141
  11

MACH ALERT

$141
  12 

COLT THIRTY ONE

$4.20

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Author Biography

Michael Johnson

Michael Johnson

Michael has been betting on trots since he knew how to use a phone. He puts strong emphasis on speed maps and prices every race to 100% and then backs the value. He never gets swayed by market moves or prices "that's just one person's opinion'".

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