2/2/19 Best bets at Caulfield: WJ Adams Stakes

Distance	1000m
Grade	Listed
Track Rating	Good 4
Prizemoney	$140,000
Class	Handicap (No Maidens)
2018 winner	Lady Esprit ($51)

The speed looks red hot in this race, with two key horses expected to push forward at a rapid rate.

This early speed should bring the backmarkers right into it, however I am on one who'll race close to or on the speed.

He looks the superior colt who can absorb the pressure.

Avoid the short priced favourite at all costs, as he looks well under the odds in current betting. 

 

 Caulfield Track Traits

Caulfield is currently rated a Good 4, with the rail out a massive 9m the entire circuit and fine conditions predicted for Saturday.

Given the rail position, expect there to be a distinct advantage for those racing close to and on the speed. 

Although the run-on profiles are disadvantaged from well back, they will certainly have their chance considering the predicted hot speed in this race.

 

 Racing Market Movers

All runners remain steady in early betting.

 

 Key Runners

#1 Nature Strip $1.55

Noted speedster who was on track for glory in The Everest until the last start failure at Moonee Valley, where he simply failed to run out a strong 1000m after working early.

If Weir has him right, there is no doubt he is the one to beat here.

Slight concern with his price which is now rock bottom odds. I can't make him a bet at the current poison $1.55 quote.

He will lead and be in it for a long way, provided there is not too much pressure from Written Tycoon who'll want the lead also.

Happy to bet against at the price.

 

#3 Bons Away $15  

Is an underrated galloper and he could be a serious threat here if the leaders cut at each other.

He has the good 1200m form (won five times over that distance), which will hold him in good stead to be charging late if they go warp speed.

Looks the value runner and has significant speed map favours from gate one in a high pressure race. Yes.

 

#4 Written By $4.20

Is likely to challenge for the lead and this could be to his detriment.

He rounded out last prep with a close up 4 of 10 in the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes, which is excellent form for this race. 

Very classy and just needs to be left alone or sit outside the lead at gentle tempo to be winning. Leading hope.

 

#7 Encryption $9  

Also ran well in the Coolmore Stud stakes last start when he finished 5 of 10, and he could surprise a few of the more fancied runners here at a price.

His natural pattern is to get well back and run home hard off a hot tempo, which appears likely here.

Godolphin are flying and he must be training the house down to be entered in this as the first-up assignment. Top chance at odds. 

     

Of The Others

#2 Ashlor appears massive value here at $23 and the speed map looks ideal for his profile.

He will be midfield with cover and peeling out at just the right time to run home hard over the top.  

The best each-way play nationwide on Saturday! Yes. 

 

 Best Racing Tips

1^st  Written By

2^nd  Ashlor 

3^rd  Nature Strip

4^th  Encryption

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