Savatiano

2/11/19 Horse racing tips and best bets: Empire Rose Stakes

Classy girls lock horns

Distance 1200m
Grade Group 1
Track Rating Good 4 
Prizemoney 1,000,000
Class Fillies and Mares WFA
2018 winner Shillelagh ($6.50)

A high quality group of girls have been assembled for this year's Empire Rose Stakes, in what shapes as a highly competitive race over the Flemington mile.

Many of the horses engaged come via the Tristarc Stakes at Caulfield, which appears to be the right form-line.

Speed will be crucial here and they could drop anchor mid-race, meaning those on-speed and no worse than midfield would hold the key.

I am with one who should cruise across and if they do go slow, she can kick hard off the front end to win.

 

Race Track Flemington Track Traits

For the latest insight into how the Flemington track is expected to play, read our preview of the Victoria Derby here.  

 

Market Movers Racing Market Movers

Race favourite Melody Belle is a slight drifter in betting early, out to $3.50 from $3.20.

There has been a longer price move for Amphitrite, who has been $41 into $21.

 

Horse Racing Key Runners

#1 Invincibella $16

Did enough second-up in the Tristarc at Caulfield, when finishing 5 of 14 behind Savitiano. 

She could jump out of the ground here, given her excellent third-up profile (7:2-2-1).

Expect them to push forward and look for a position midfield in the moving line. From there, she should be steaming home hard over the top.

Big price and top hope. 

Invincibella  

 

#2 Melody Belle $3.20 > $3.50

Gun Kiwi mare who has taken all before her at home, winning three NZ Group 1's on end!

This is still a step up in class for her however, with the quality of Australian Group horses much higher than the fields she has been facing across the Tasman.

The market has her short enough at the current quote in betting and she will need plenty of favours from the wide draw in gate 13.

Must include, however she faces a stiff test against our quality. 

 

#3 Aristia $14

Has been looking for 1600m all prep and finally gets that distance here.

If the tempo is on, she is definitely the one and should be the strongest late.

However, there's a slight concern that they may go too slow up front.  

I hope they use the inside gate in barrier 1 and punch up to ride closer, as this will be her best opportunity to win.

Big player.

  

#4 Savatiano $9.50 

She was ultra dominant last start when she raced on speed, dictated and raced right away with it to win at Caulfield.  

This race looks a similar set-up, where she can cruise across to sit outside the leader on a slow tempo and pull the trigger as she likes.

Has the class and racing style for this and just needs to run out a strong 1600m to be winning. Goes on top.

   

#6 Spanish Reef $15

The Keys stable are flying, with the likes of Soul Patch and Rich Itch winning quality stakes races in recent weeks. They must have their feed and vet programs right on the cutting edge at the moment.

She won the Ladies Day Vase at Caulfield last start, where she used her excellent tactical speed to lead and run them all into the ground. 

It's highly likely she gets a soft lead here and if left alone, will be there kicking at the end.

 

#7 Princess Jenni $8.00

Gets back in the field and has one of the biggest finishes you will ever see.

I loved her run two starts back, when she won the Stocks Stakes impressively after encountering traffic.  

She had genuine excuses last start, when it looked as though she wasn't suited at Caulfield in the Toorak Handicap after finishing 12 of 18.

This is much easier and back to a big track here with more room to find clean air and run on. She is a major player. Yes.     

Princess Jenni

 

#9 Pohutukawa $6.50

Has been the sucker punch bet all Spring and has proved one of the biggest tease horses this far.

She was unlucky in the Tristarc last start when finishing 4 of 14 after being held up, however she is rapidly becoming a non-winner and the excuses are wearing thin.

Prefer others. 

Pohutukawa

 

#10 Nettoyer $16

Has been racing well in Sydney and brings a form-line of difference.

She was only 4.5 lengths off the winner in the Epsom Handicap and a repeat of that would see her winning this. 

There is a slight concern they go too slow for her here and it could prove impossible to execute her preferred run-on pattern from the tail.

Risking from a speed map angle.

 

#13 Angelic Ruler $15

Has been racing well and she was certainly unsuited at her past few. Last start, the pattern was clearly against her, when she was forced to go wide in a slow run race.

The draw in gate 15 is a horror story again and the speed looks only moderate. Both factors appear hard to overcome. No.

 

#15 Fidelia $15

Has a lethal turn of foot late, however is another of the get-back brigade who will need favours and some form of tempo up front.

They will have no choice but to go back again from the outside draw in gate 16 and it will be a mighty task from there.

Even with plenty against, I can't completely rule her out and have her marked as one of the better off-speed horses. Not out of it.  

 

Of The Others

#5 Amphitrite has been a noted mover in betting here, after being backed in from $41 to now trade at $21.

If the push continues on race day, I would be very wary. Watch betting late. 

 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Savatiano

2nd Aristia 

3rd  Melody Belle  

4th  Invincibella 

You don't have to pay for profit making racing tipsters. We record Australia's most popular form analysts and show their free horse racing tips along side their profit figures.

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

Sandown Barriers

16/11/19 Horse Racing Tips for Sandown on Zipping Classic Day

The Melbourne Spring carnival is fast coming to an end, with the Sandown card at this time of year always presenting a g.....

Nov 16, 2019 12:20PM
READ MORE

Caulfield Turn

15/11/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: David Gately review

David Gately continued on with his cracking Spring Carnival form with a week to remember at Flemington during the Melbou.....

Nov 16, 2019 10:55AM
READ MORE

Horses Generic

15/11/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Deane Lester review

Deane Lester had a Flemington Carnival to remember. Punters who followed his staking plan will have secured a profit .....

Nov 16, 2019 10:15AM
READ MORE

Horse racing general image Melbourne

15/11/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Mark Hunter review

Mark Hunter proved beyond doubt that he's one of this country's best tipsters at Flemington during Melbourne Cup.....

Nov 15, 2019 10:12AM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Today's Racing Top 5

Peter69
Punter
333% POT
JHRAP
Punter
240% POT
MoTown
Punter
220% POT
Mosse
Pro
170% POT
strangestrat..
Punter
130% POT
Full Leaderboard
Shayne OCass
70% POT
Gary Kliese
65% POT
Matt Jones
49% POT
Priscilla Lo..
18% POT
Matt Welsh
9% POT
 
Shayne OCass 70% POT
Gary Kliese 65% POT
Matt Jones 49% POT
Matt Welsh 9% POT
Ian Humphrie.. 3% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

Horse racing general image Melbourne

15/11/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Mark Hunter review

Mark Hunter proved beyond doubt that he's one of this country's best tipsters at Flemington during Melbourne Cup.....

READ MORE

Bookie Ring 060218

16/11/18 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free racing tips from Michael Gannon Michael's tips have generated $3,790 in cash profit from $100 win bets over the pa.....

READ MORE

Perth Racing

16/11/19 Ascot tips and best bets

The Ascot Carnival picks-up momentum as we draw closer to Group 1 racing in Perth next Saturday, for Railway Stakes Day......

READ MORE

Sandown Finish

16/11/19 Best bets for Sandown on Zipping Classic Day

Sandown plays host to a strong ten race card on Saturday, headlined by the Group 2 Zipping Classic. The stakes are.....

READ MORE

EarlyMarketMovers

16/11/19 Horse racing tips from early market moves

Following a busy Flemington carnival, the show rolls on to Sandown this Saturday for a string of quality stakes races.&n.....

READ MORE

Ventura Storm

16/11/19 Free horse racing tips: Zipping Classic

Distance 2400m Grade Group 2 Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $300,000 .....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2019 S93 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.