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  • 11:41:41 AEST
  • Saturday, 15 December 2018
Luvaluva 280318

24/11/18 Horse Racing Tips: Ballarat Cup 2018 Preview


High profile Country Cup

Distance 2,200m
Grade Listed 
Track Rating Good 4
Prizemoney $350,000
Class Handicap 
2017 winner Grand Dreamer ($7.50)

The country cups continue to draw good quality fields and this edition of the Ballarat Cup is no different, with a number of high-profile Spring carnival horses backing up.

Expect the strong Flemington form to hold up here and for those coming out of the better Group races to dominate.

I am with one whose trainer has a huge passion for stayers, having achieved stakes level success with another of his staying charges this season.

Expect Ballarat to shine with their Saturday stand-alone meeting. 

 

Race Track Ballarat Track Traits

Ballarat is currently rated a Good 4 with fine conditions predicted for Saturday. 

The rail is out 3m from the 600m mark to the winning post and in the true position for the remainder.

The Ballarat surface typically plays fair and with the rail only slightly off the true, expect all runners to get their chance from both on and off speed.

As always a close watch early is advised to determine any presence of track bias. 

 

Market Movers Racing Market Movers

All runners remain steady in early betting. 

 

Horse Racing Key Runners

#1 Life Less Ordinary $5.50

Has been competing at a higher level than this throughout most of the prep and he showed that he appreciates the drop back to Listed grade after just missing last start at Flemington on Melbourne Cup day when 2 of 12.

That run followed an excellent effort at Group 1 level, when he was only 1.95 lengths off the winner.

The group form could be telling and he has to be considered a leading hope here. Yes.   

 

#2  Lord Fandango $9.50

Ran ok in the Zipping Classic last start when 4 of 8 and has a touch of quality following plenty of Group level racing this prep.

He has the tactical speed to take an ideal position midfield, even from a wide draw (gate 15).

However, it looks as though there are a few here that are much more dynamic and I am happy to bet around the current $10 quote.

Market drift expected. No. 

 

#3 Another Coldie $6 

Was heavily backed late to win the Kyneton Cup, before racing away impressively to brain them.

This is much harder, however he deserves a place in the field after dominating the country cups scene all season.

If the money comes again late in betting, get on!

 

#5 Kiwia $8.50

Has been somewhat of a tease all prep and it would take an outstanding peak performance to win this.

Simply looks outclassed following the failures at stakes level in his past few. No.  

 

#7 Luvaluva $7.50

John Sargent is a master trainer of stayers and has his team flying (won the Geelong Classic).

Expect this mare to perform well following the close up 3 of 15 in the Group 2 Matriarch Stakes at Flemington.

She'll relish the extra distance and will be charging late from a midfield position and must go on top. Yes. 

 

#10 One More Try $9

Will have to do it from the car park after drawing widest in gate 21.

Can still make a strong case for her however, following the dominant Flemington win last start where she was backed off the map in the last few moments of betting ($6.00 into $4.80).

The strong SP profile alone says yes and she should go very close.  

 

#20 Lucky For All (emergency) $3.70

Race favourite who is currently sitting just outside the field as an emergency, however is very likely to be included.

He promised the world two preps back when widely touted as the next boom horse, following impressive runs throughout.

Certainly has the quality and on best form would blow these away. Top hope.  

 

Of The Others

None preferred. 

 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Luvaluva

2nd  Life Less Ordinary

3rd  Another Coldie 

4th  Lucky For All

Get more tips from media racing experts and professional punters in our horse racing tips market. Every tipster has validated profit statistics on display for you to view before you follow.

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