Caulfield Finish3

8/10/19 Caulfield Races: Thousand Guineas Final Field & Tips 2019

Field of 11 nominated for $1M filly feature

Distance 1,600m
Grade Group 1
Track  Caulfield
Prizemoney $1,000,000
2018 winner

Amphitrite ($13.00)

 

 

The Thousand Guineas is the major race for three-year-old fillies, run at Caulfield over the Melbourne Spring Carnival.  

Notable winners of the Thousand Guineas include Atlantic Jewel (2011), Miss Finland (2006) and Alinghi (2004). 

The early favourite for the 2019 edition is Godolphin's Flit ($2.20).

The filly by Medaglia D'oro was luckless last start and while she ran 9 of 15, it could be argued that she could have won the race. 

Stablemate Lyre is on the second line of betting. This filly by Lonhro won the Group One Blue Diamond Stakes at this track earlier this year and has drawn to get the perfect run in the race.

With a record of five starts, two wins and a placing, she is one of only four runners who have notched up a win around the challenging Caulfield track.

 

Thousand Guineas Race Tip: Lyre $6.50

Drawn barrier three, she looks likely to sit outside stablemate Flit in the run and should get first crack at the leaders on turning for home. 

It wouldn't surprise to see Flit receive another luckless run from barrier two and given her racing pattern, she's a risk at the short quote. 

Lyre's last start seventh in Thousand Guineas Prelude was solid. She lacked the dash to win, but it was a run that indicated she'll relish the 1600m and was enough to suggest she's a winning chance here. 

She is the only runner in the field with a Group One victory to their name and if she brings her A-game to the track, she'll give this a huge shake. 

The gap in the market between her and Flit looks far too wide and at the value, Lyre looks the best bet in this year's Thousand Guineas. 

 

Nominations for the 2019 Thousand Guineas are below: 

Horse Name Weight Barrier Trainer Jockey Odds
FLIT 55.5kg 2 James Cummings Hugh Bowman $2.20
LYRE 55.5kg 3 Anthony Freedman Mark Zahra $6.50
MISSILE MANTRA 55.5kg 11 Peter & Paul Snowden Damian Lane $8.00
ACTING (NZ) 55.5kg 6 Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young Craig Williams $11
EMERALDS 55.5kg 8 John Sargent Ben Melham $13
TENLEY 55.5kg 7 James Cummings Kerrin McEvoy $14
SOUTHBANK 55.5kg 4 Anthony Freedman James McDonald $16
I AM ELOQUENT 55.5kg 5 Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young Stephen Baster $21
BARBIE’S FOX 55.5kg 1 Louise Bonella Damien Oliver $26
AFFAIR TO REMEMBER 55.5kg 9 Dan O'Sullivan Michael Walker $26
ST EDWARD’S CROWN 55.5kg 10 Shane Fliedner Damien Thornton $51

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Author Biography

Michael Gannon

Michael Gannon

Michael is a life-long punter who enjoys the challenge of unearthing value buried within betting markets. The former golf pro knows a thing or two about performing under pressure.

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