Rosehill Tips for The Tancred Stakes 2024

This is no classic edition of the Tancred, in fact you wonder how a few of them even got a start, but it should see the class bubble quickly come to the surface.

That said, in any distance race where there won't be much pace on a long range battle of cat-and-mouse can quickly develop.

The strong early backing for progressive ex-UK stallion Buckaroo was intriguing.

No luck in the Group 2 Apollo (1400m) first-up since spring, and then a tough closing effort in the Group 1 Ranvet (2000m) behind Via Sistina.

There's a real sense of timing getting to this trip, but does he have the pure staying gears to unseat the favourite?

Admittedly the stable behind Post Impressionist remains a little reluctant to back up in seven days, something you never see on the other side of the world?

Assuming however that all being good, this is a Down Under target en route to the Sydney Cup.

 

 

Check out the All-In boys thoughts on the Tancred

 

Rosehill Race 8 - Tancred Stakes (2400m)

Track Conditions

Despite a few intermittent showers in the 48 hours leading up, dry weather is forecast on the day and we should remain on a Good 4.

The rail is out 6m from 900m to the winning post and is a tricky read.

 

Speed Map

Similar to last Saturday, runners should get their chance to win from off the speed.

However with the rail position, hooking widest looking for the better ground may not be the A grade option, but rather searching between runners over the final 300m.

Outsiders Military Mission and Gear Up are both likely to roll forward, while Post Impressionist can park a little bit closer from a softer draw.

Buckaroo will try to edge in and find cover around midfield, while the gun run in the race is likely to land for Ashrun parked on the fence doing no work a few lengths off the speed.

Tom Kitten will slide back from the wider draw to find a trail off the fence and be saved for one run late from the 600m.

 

 

The Favourite

Whichever way you slice and dice this race, Post Impressionist must rate on top off that first-up Australian win in the Manion Cup.

Yes it was truly run and he got the right toe into the race from the back, but given that was his first run since early September and he traditionally progresses into the next outing, this suits!

Consider the strength of his form lines too.

He was beaten just over two lengths in the time-honored and always super deep Group 2 Ebor over 2800m at York, before being a dominant 105-rating winner at Haydock.

The plan looks simple, settle back with cover and be given free air from the 500m.

 

Neil's Best Bet

For all the reasons stated and probably a few more, Post Impressionist can launch another reminder of the vast superiority of UK stables when it comes to a mile and well beyond.

 

The Dangers

I'm not ditching Tom Kitten one bit, despite missing a place in the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas over 2000m last Saturday.

Again he had no luck and was held up at avital stage in the straight before being forced back inside which was lengths slower over the final furlong.

Jamie Kah gets her chance now back down to 54kg and surely he just settles back and be taken right to the outside for a clean run home, something he's hardly been afforded all prep.

 

Neil's Top Four

1. POST IMPRESSIONIST
2. Tom Kitten
3. Buckaroo
4. Ashrun

 

Access more betting tips for Saturday racing here.