Horse Racing Tips for The Turnbull Stakes 2024

The Group 1 action this Spring has been thrilling, with photo finishes and epic battles becoming the norm.

However in the Turnbull Stakes this Saturday, I expect a different scenario.

I'm predicting a dominant performance from a runner who will stamp their authority and announce themselves as a leading Cox Plate contender.

 

 

Turnball Stakes 2024 Tips and Best Bets

Track Conditions:

The track is currently rated as a Good 4 but with rain forecasted for both Friday & Saturday (5-10mm), it will likely end up around the Soft 6 range.

While the running rail is out 9m no track bias should be seen, and every runner will get their opportunity.

 

See who the All-In boys like in the Turnbull Stakes

 

The Speed Map

In typical Waterhouse & Bott fashion, race favourite Eliyass (16) will come across from the wide barrier to find the front, along with Bois D’argent (14).

Duke De Sessa (7) will be prominent in the run along with Young Werther (2).

Place Du Carrousel (4) will also likely use the good draw to get a forward position in running.

Top contenders Buckaroo (8) and Via Sistina (12) should be spotted at midfield while Atishu (5) and Warmonger (10) will be towards the rear of the field.

 

The Favourite - Via Sistina $4.40

Via Sistina may have disappointed in the Makybe Diva Stakes last start, finishing behind a few key rivals as a $2.50 favourite, but there are reasons to remain positive.

Before that she was sensational in her first-up win in the Winx Stakes at 1400m, showing an electric turn of foot that had her pegged as a Spring star.

Her Makybe Diva failure can largely be forgiven as she struggled on the Heavy track that day, which isn’t her ideal footing.

She’s proven her quality on softer surfaces in Europe, which are often more rain-affected than Australian tracks, so a Soft 6 here shouldn’t pose too much of a problem.

If Via Sistina returns to the form that saw her dominate in the Winx Stakes, she can bounce back in a big way and win this comfortably, re-establishing herself as a prime Cox Plate contender.

 

Via Sistina winning the Winx Stakes

 

Tips

1st – Via Sistina ($4.60)

I expect Via Sistina to return to her best here.

She maps well, will enjoy the conditions, and should have too much class for this field.

A win here will confirm her status as one of the key Cox Plate fancies.

 

2nd – Warmonger ($12.00)

I’m keen on Warmonger as a value play.

His run in the Makybe Diva was impressive, finishing ahead of Via Sistina, and he’s likely to improve second-up.

His turn of foot is lethal, and while this may not be his race to win, he’ll be rattling home late.

He’s shaping up as a serious Caulfield Cup contender, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him come close here.

 

3rd – Place Du Carrousel ($14.00)

Don’t dismiss Place Du Carrousel despite a below-par first-up run in the Underwood Stakes, where she had post-race excuses.

If Buckaroo is priced at $4.60 after winning that race, Place Du Carrousel should be considered great value, and I’ll be having a small saver on her.

 

4th – Atishu ($13.00)

You can never count out Atishu at Flemington over 2000m.

She thrives at the track and distance, and while her last start in the Makybe Diva was underwhelming, she’s shown enough in recent runs to be in the mix.

With her excellent Flemington record, expect her to be competitive again.

 

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