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Horse Racing Tips for the Turnbull Stakes 2023

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Cup hopefuls keen to shine

Tagged: Horse Racing Tips, Turnbull Stakes, Flemington, Nic Ashman

Only one Australian-trained Melbourne Cup winner over the past decade hasn’t raced on Turnbull Stakes day.

That is how important Saturday’s meeting at Flemington is with respect to the big one on the first Tuesday in November.

Here’s a look at the Australian trained Melbourne Cup winners over the last 10 years and how they've performed on Turnbull Stakes Day.

 

Year Melbourne Cup Winner Turnbull Stakes Day Result

2022

Gold Trip

5th in the Turnbull Stakes

2021

Verry Elleegant

4th in the Turnbull Stakes

2019

Vow And Declare

4th in the Turnbull Stakes

2016

Almandin

1st in the Bart Cummings

2013

Fiorente

4th in the Turnbull Stakes

2012

Green Moon

1st in the Turnbull Stakes

 

Prince Of Penzance in 2015 is the only locally-trained Melbourne Cup winner not to have run on Turnbull Stakes day since Green Moon in 2013.

Chris Waller has won 5 of the last 8 editions – only Lee Freedman has won more with 6.

 

Nic Ashman Tips

 

Trackwalker Info

Expect a small penalty for lanes 1 and 2, with the best ground appearing to be in lanes 3+.

This should suit horses that can settle on-pace and blend into the race three or more horses off the rail coming around the home turn.

 

Speedmap

Turnbull speedmaps

 

GOLDMAN is likely to cross and lead with SMOKIN ROMANS to his outside.

I suspect EL PATRONESS will be content taking a sit behind them, while ROMANTIC WARRIOR shouldn’t be too far off them.

His Timeform Rating of 127 puts him well above his rivals here, but Hong Kong horses have a terrible record in Australia with just 1 win from 47 attempts at our big races.

 

Tips for the Turnbull Stakes

Osipenko 7. Osipenko (6) $7.00

Closed off strongly in the Makybe Diva Stakes, with his late splits comparable to MR BRIGHTSIDE.

He won the Frank Packer Plate over 2000m during Sydney’s autumn. That race has an impressive honour roll with plenty going on to bigger and better things.

Likely to settle a tad closer than what the map above has him and if this favourite doesn’t turn up, the $7 will look generous.

 

Francesco Guardi 4. Francesco Guardie (7) $21.00

He was second-up off nearly a year break and four weeks between runs, when a gallant fifth in the Makybe Diva Stakes.

Has to improve more than OSIPENKO and therefore the $21 looks a luxury.

 

You can snap up plenty more Flemington Tips from proven winning tipsters here

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Oct 05, 2023 08:45 AM
by Nic Ashman
X@nic_ashman

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