Betting Tips: Early Market Movers at Randwick and Flemington 17/2/24

Market Movers continues to dominate with another profitable weekend.

This has become the 'norm' for our system, finding where the sharp professional money lands and also if there has been any stable plunges.

Last week we had 4 winners and 3 seconds for a whopping $1,230 profit from $100 win bets.

 

There is plenty of interest this week from a number of early shoppers, who are backing runners to beat two key favourites.

At Flemington punters believe a Ciaron Maher runner has the ability to roll gun mare Imperatriz.

Whilst at Randwick the Waterhouse/Bott yard have one of their key 2yo runners resuming for his Golden Slipper preparation.

 

 

Flemington Tips

 

Big Watch

They may ride him a touch closer now third-up (1:1-0-0) which appears the key here.

They have had little intent shown in the two lead up runs this preparation and that looks set to change.

He has been fancied in betting at his past two starts hence must be showing them something at home, to warrant the market support.

If Mott can find the position outside the leader he will give a good kick and be very hard to run past.

 

Luijzika

Ciaron Maher runner who the internal data team knew was going very well last start, where they backed her heavily ($1.50) and she won accordingly.

She steps up to Saturday city grade here however the stable are elite at placing them and if they have entered for this, she is likely to have the ability to win.

Flemington will suit based on her last start effort, where she ran on from a mid-field position to get up.

 

Bella Nipotina

Gun sprinting mare who oozes quality and is another that may be burning up the track at home behind closed doors.

With Criag Williams aboard, the tactics for this race would have been thoroughly thought out and they would have learnt plenty from her previous straight runs to get the plan right here.

She is good enough to beat most horses on here day, and looks a huge threat here to the favourite Imperatriz.

 

Ka Bling

Just missed at Caulfield last start when it was reported some of the sharpest punters found him.

They should get an ideal run from gate three and be much better suited to run-on here at the bigger Flemington track.

I’m confident he will run a huge race in this and is an excellent chance of toppling the favourite, who looks over-bet on debut in Stakes grade.

 

Randwick Tips

 

Shangri La Express

Gun 2yo from a stable who can currently do no wrong with their youngsters.

He was simply breathtaking winning his first two career starts in ultra-impressive fashion, before being put away with a Golden Slipper in mind.

His tactical speed should be the winning factor here where he is likely to find the front and have no worries leading them a merry dance throughout, with a few flashy runs in behind him which are unlikely to threaten.

 

Buenos Noches

High-quality sprinter who on his day has the ability to unleash-hell on any horse when dropping on them late.

First-up (3:2-0-0) here should be no issue, as he generally sprints well fresh and should get the solid tempo up front to suit his run-on profile.

He could be in for a huge preparation and a Group 1 victory is well within his reach at some stage during this campaign.

 

Semana

Went forward when winning at the Gold Coast last start, which appeared to make all the difference.

She draws well enough in gate 5 to press forward again and can choose to lead or sit outside the leader, in a race that may suit those runners riding the speed.

I’d expect the team are very happy with her at home to be backing up here in Sydney Group 3 level following the trip away.

*Please note this market move has been affected by scratchings.

 

Louisville

Has been an excellent “money-spinner” for the master trainer this preparation where never out of the placings in all 6 starts.

He looks well place again by the stable, who have opted to remain at Benchmark 88 level here.

Back in distance from 2000m to 1600m also looks ideal and he should be one of the best suited if the speed goes on throughout and it’s last man standing.

The fit horse!

 

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