Betting Tips: Early Market Movers at Randwick & Caulfield 5/4/25

On a huge Group 1 day at Royal Randwick, we again analyse the early market to identify all the relevant price-action.

At Caulfield, a Sydney raider has been switched south to target Stakes grade which is an excellent guide in itself.

Whilst at Randwick, a 2YO with different form appears to hold the key in the Group 1 Sires’ Produce Stakes and could emerge as a new juvenile star.

 

 

Caulfield Tips

 

Mednyi

Switched to Melbourne to contest a Listed Stakes race. This is a clear vote of confidence from the stable and a strong lead for punters.

She was solid when placing 3rd of 9 at Randwick Kensington last start and now appears primed for this target race.

This looks a set-up job for the Emirates Park colours, with the stable sure to have her ready to fire.

Respect any further market firm.

 

Heart Of Glass

Strong last-start effort here over the same 1200m (2nd, beaten 0.7L), when closing well from a long way back.

This time she draws better in gate 6 and looks set to settle closer in the run.

With added fitness and a more suitable map, she’s the run-on horse to watch late.

Big chance if she lands midfield with cover.

 

Hughes

Hammered late in betting last start at Cranbourne ($4.20 into $3.30) and got the job done with authority.

Now third-up and rising in grade, but clearly flying.

Carries 62.5kg again, but gets help with the 3kg claim.

With a similar run on-pace, he could prove hard to run down again.

 

Porter

Brained them at Morphettville when backed off the map ($2 into $1.65), and now drops in Benchmark class despite rising in grade to Melbourne metro level.

The stable is placing him perfectly and he maps well despite drawing wide.

With tactical speed, look for him to roll forward and prove very hard to beat.

 

Randwick Tips

 

Evaporate

Looks extremely well-placed in this field.

Maps to be on speed and gets a huge rider upgrade to Blake Shinn, who can dictate the tempo from a forward spot.

With the key rival Swiftfalcon a backmarker, the race shape should suit Evaporate perfectly.

 

Vinrock

Emerging 2YO with plenty of upside and importantly arrives with different form lines.

He is already proven over the 1400m whereas a lot of his rivals are unexposed.

This gives him a fitness edge over the Slipper horses and the camp believes he’s still improving.

Could be the next big thing.

 

Magic Time

Genuine Group 1 mare who thrives at Randwick (8:3-1-3) and returns to her ideal circuit after a forgive run last start.

Gate 1 gives her options and she’ll be smoking the pipe behind the speed.

The stable is airborne, and she’ll be ready to unleash late. Big chance.

 

Wilydoit

NZ Derby winner who did it the hard way last start and still found the line.

Carries top staying credentials and has an enormous motor.

If he travels over well, he should ride the speed and be there at the business end.

 

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