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17/07/21 Free horse racing tips & best bets

Best bets from leading tipsters

Saturday's free best bets around Australia are locked and loaded from our team of leading form analysts.

 

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Eagle Farm Race 5 Tip #1 Without Thinking $ 4.00

This son of So You Think has an impressive record to date with 3 wins and 2 seconds from 6 career starts.

At his last start, he competed well in the Group 3 Gunsynd Classic behind exciting youngster Ayrton to finish sixth.

The notable part to that run was the fact he was a length behind Starosa, who went on to salute in this grade last Saturday.

For this clash, he steps up to 1800M for the first time. This will be a distance that will suit him nicely as he was doing his best work late over the mile last run.

Jockey Michael Hellyer knows this horse well, steering him to all three career wins.

Last start, Without Thinking got shuffled a long way back in the field and that resulted in his undoing. Hellyer this time out will try to find a spot closer to the front to make sure he is in the frame come the finish.

Some of his main competitors in this are coming off maiden wins, so Without Thinking will have the class edge on them at this stage of his campaign.

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Free horse racing tips from Michael Manley

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Flemington Race 6 Tip #8 Degraves $2.70

This former Irish Group 3 winner returns to the Flemington 1600m, where he won on his Australian debut a month ago.

On that occasion he was heavily backed and proved too strong for key rival Think'n'Fly.

The margin looked like it would become a huge gap in the home straight, until Degraves badly ducking in over the concluding stages to only win by 0.4 lengths.

That was his first hit-out for 39 weeks and as a result, trainer Rob Hickmott has given him a month to recover from the run.

He will again be saddled by gun apprentice Will Price, whose 1.5kg claim will bring him in with the same weight he carried last start (52.5kg).

Looking back at his Irish form, he was competitive against Armory. Armory has since come to Australia finishing second in the Cox Plate. 

With his light-weight, he’s going to prove hard to beat again.  

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Free horse racing Tips from Luke Hovhanesian

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Luke steered punters into Turnstyle at $4.00 on Wednesday

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Randwick Race 2 Tip #9 Private Agent $3.00

I am turning my attention to the Tab Highway this weekend for my best bet of the card.

Private Agent is a horse with bounds of potential and is Kosciuszko bound if he can put in a competitive campaign over these Winter months.

Last campaign was cut short after pulling up lame as the $1.30 favourite in his only run.

He has since had a lengthy spell and is now resuming after two really nice trials.

In his first trial he was up against top quality horses, holding his own against them to finish 3rd only 4 lengths off Group 1 winner Savatiano.

In the second trial he was barely touched and cruised behind the front runners once again running third.

Trainer Kurt Goldman is hoping for a track upgrade come Saturday but with the drying Sydney weather, this should pose no concerns.

The step up to 1200m suits and if Private Agent gets a start, he will be too strong for these in Class 2 company.

 

Free horse racing tips from JustWins

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Eagle Farm Race 1 Tip #3 Release The Beans $3.20

There are plenty of questions around whether second favourite in this race, Hamlet Von Snitzel, will line up in this field.

At his last start, Release The Beans was first-up for 20 weeks finishing a competitive third as favourite behind Jumbo Goal.

That was a day when not many horses were able to wind up with big runs over the top of their opposition, so he had his excuses.

For his task here, he drops 2kg and gets gun jockey aboard Ryan Maloney.

Look for him to settle with cover and show his turn of foot to finish right over the top of them.

Follow @JustWins2

 

Free horse racing tips from Justin Boccardo

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Justin has recorded 3 winning months in a row!

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Belmont Race 3 Tip #4 Comes A Time $3.00

Comes A Time has been ultra-consistent this prep in tougher races and looks well placed to chalk up another deserved win. 

Looking at his form this campaign, he was 0.08 lengths off boom sprinter Amasenus the last time he tackled 1000m and then 0.36 lengths off the same horse when he was stepped up to 1200m.

At his latest outing last week, he went down narrowly after settling back further than usual and having to do a mountain of work.

Comes A Time has a good soft record and clearly can handle a track with the sting out of it.

Furthermore, he is dropping back in grade from a 72+ to a 66+ here and returns to the Belmont 1000m, where he excels with 2 wins and a second from 3 starts over the track and distance. 

Captain Kink looks the likely leader, with Comes A Time having the option of either breezing or taking a seat on him.

Chris Parnham will have options from the good draw and any spot in the first 4 is good for this horse to give a good sighting in the straight.

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Author Biography

Rick Morris

Rick Morris

Rick Morris is an experienced racing analyst, with a sharp eye for finding a winner. Residing in Melbourne, Rick keeps a close eye on the Victorian racing scene as well as metropolitan Queensland racing. He's also big AFL fan, having spent close to 20 years commentating the NAB League under 19's competition.

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