This Michael Costa trained galloper has worked his way through the grades beautifully this preparation.
He was an easy winner over this distance two starts back defeating Dr Why Not and Superium. Superium then franked the form by winning in listed company last Saturday at Eagle Farm.
Axe followed that win with an excellent third in the Group 3 BRC Sprint behind Emerald Kingdom. Tofane crossed the line next to him in that run and that mare won the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap last week.
Regular jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester is on board and he can use his early acceleration to clear the field from the wide gate.
There isn’t a ton of speed in this race so if he gets an easy enough run at the head of affairs, he'll take a power of beating.
Guthmann-Chester can kick him clear in the straight and get too much of break on these for an all the way victory.
This is a nice race with some quality runners, but the form of Timely Outburst sticks out the most to me.
Three starts back, this 3YO filly beat home Material Witness who is a subsequent winner.
At her run two starts ago, she finished second to The Spruiker who has also saluted since.
Then at her most recent outing, she ran second to Graceful Girl. That galloper has since notched up a victory in Listed grade, beating Billy Ain't Silly who is the Guineas favourite later in the program. The form-line certainly stack up!
This race looks to be lacking genuine tempo, with Vane Tempest and Timely Outburst set to lead them up.
Timely Outburst maps well and I expect her to be too good for this lot .
Rick Morris is an experienced racing analyst, with a sharp eye for finding a winner. Residing in Melbourne, Rick keeps a close eye on the Victorian racing scene as well as metropolitan Queensland racing. He's also big AFL fan, having spent close to 20 years commentating the NAB League under 19's competition.
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