The Eagle Farm surface is currently rated a Good 4, with the rail out 4 metres for the entire circuit.
Mostly sunny conditions are predicted for the remainder of the week, so you can expect the track rating to remain the same with irrigation added.
Keep an eye on the early races, with fresh ground near the rail likely to favour on-pace runners.
However, the big track is usually fair for all provided they can handle the firm surface.
Eagle Farm Race 7 – JJ Atkins Plate 1600m (G1)
Expect the Waterhouse/Bott trained filly Volcanic Rock (6) to take up the running, with Blushing Tycoon (12) coming across early from the wide gate.
Overpass (3) will duck in behind them and race handy to the speed.
Port Louis (13) will settle towards the rear, however that is his normal racing style so you can expect him to finish strong late. Outsider Dark Rebel (1) will also race at the rear.
Converge $3.70 was the standout run in the Sires Produce over 1400m, which looks the best form reference now that they are stepping up to a mile.
The Waterhouse/Bott trained gelding was held up near last at the top of the straight, before thundering home late to run second.
He is a big chance and this is his third go at 1600m this prep, so he should be the fittest of these babies.
Converge is the one you know will be there in the final furlong, having won at this distance already.
You can expect Tim Clark to ride him conservatively midfield and not too close to the leaders. That will give him every hope to finish off strong again.
This son of Frankel will take a power of beating and with luck on his side this time, is the one for me.
Port Louis chased hard behind Tiger Of Malay last run and may be better suited coming from behind Converge this time. He is getting better with each run and it will be no surprise if he does turn the tables here.
Cape Breton fought off his challengers last start, though I liked the way he was strong through the line. He’s on the week back-up which is a good sign, so if there was to be an upset over the two main fancies this bloke is the one that could cause that.
Giannis could be a sharp improver third-up and stepping up to the 1600m will suit.
She finished off nicely for second in the BRC Sprint over 1350m last start.
Third-up she looks ready to make a real play at another Group 1.
Amish Boy needs another scratching to take his place in this field, however if that occurs he will really give this a shake carrying 50kg on his back. He finished hard for second in the Fred Best over this same track and distance.
Subpoenaed is reaching his peak and will be having a crack late with the light weight.
Rick Morris is an experienced racing analyst, with a sharp eye for finding a winner. Residing in Melbourne, Rick keeps a close eye on the Victorian racing scene as well as metropolitan Queensland racing. He's also big AFL fan, having spent close to 20 years commentating the NAB League under 19's competition.
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