30/11/19 Horse racing tips from early market movers

More strong moves in betting have been seen this week at both key venues, with punters picking off the mispriced runners.

We struck late in the day at Kembla Grange last week, when Trumbull hopefully sent punters home on a winning note. 

The selections below have been detected by our proven model. Look for a further move in betting as we approach start time, to create extreme confidence.  

 

Moonee Valley  

 

Tagaloa 

Ran well to finish 3 of 13 on debut at Flemington, when he got well back before coming home via the non-preferred inside section. 

There was a big tip around for the horse last time out and it appears they have come again for him.  

The ideal draw in gate 5 will help. Yes.  

 

Balaabel 

Has been excellent in SA and deserves her chance now in city grade.

She has stakes grade experience and has already mixed it with some smart ones (Xilong) who have since won well in Melbourne.

The stable are flying and it should pay to follow. 

 

Ponga 

Led on debut and gave nothing else a chance in much weaker country grade at Ararat.

Quite a few have made the leap from Victorian country to city class in recent times, and been very effective.

I would suggest he is right up to this level and can go on with it. Yes. 

 

Morrissy   

Has a touch of quality and won at his first third-up attempt last prep.

The rider L King will take 2kg off via the claim and the horse should appreciate this respite.

He receives a dream run from gate 4 and can position just behind the leaders in the moving line. Massive speed map favours.   

 

Rosehill 

 

Muntaseera 

Is from the shrewd Maher/Eustace stable and placed second (2 of 15) in stakes grade at Flemington on debut.

She looks an above average filly and the booking of Bowman is a great lead. 

The betting says she wins!

 

Bullet Speed    

Arrives via Doomben, where he was heavily backed late ($3.50 into $2.90) before slightly disappointing to finish 4 of 10.

The money last start indicates that he is very good and it is often worthwhile giving them another chance with a strong recent SP profile. 

Bowman rides, which again provides a good lead. Yes.  

 

Brazilica 

The Waller/McDonald combination can do no wrong and they team up again here with this mare.

Expect them to press forward from the good draw in gate 2 and lead or run freely outside the front runner.

She should take good improvement from the first-up run.  

 

Moss Trip  

Has not won in a while now, however she showed that she's getting back to top form last start with a good effort (2 of 12) here at Rosehill in Group 2 grade.

Back to Group 3 level in this, she should appreciate the slight drop in grade.

Watch for her to be storming home late from back in the field. 

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