15/9/2018 Flemington Tips Makybe Diva Stakes

Spring has provided a smorgasbord of excitement for racing enthusiasts already and we are only at week 2 of the Carnival!

This Saturday, Group 1 racing continues in Melbourne with the feature Makybe Diva run in honour of the great Melbourne Cup mare.

Plenty of interest will surround the clash of the Sydney horses against the Melbourne brigade, and you can expect the race tempo to have a significant influence on who comes out on top.

A few of the locals are on a cups path and will need a strong speed up front to run-on, whilst others including race favourite Kementari, have the ability to sprint off a moderately run race.  

 

 Flemington Race Track Traits

Flemington is currently rated a Good 3 with the rail in the true position the entire circuit and showers predicted for Saturday.

Flemington can produce a fast lane up and against the inside rail on occasion, usually when there is rain about. When this occurs however, it can chop out late in the day and force riders to the middle lanes.

A close watch of weather conditions and the early races is advised to identify any track bias.  

 

 Market Movers

Race favourite Kementari is on the drift in early betting, easing from $3.50 to $3.90. Humidor remains rock solid around the $4.20 mark.

 

 Key Runners

#1 Happy Clapper $7

Was slightly disappointing first-up at Caulfield in the Memsie Stakes, where he was left flat footed when the sprint went on before finishing 7 of 11.

He appears to save his best performances for Randwick, and strikes a gun field of classy milers here as well as several up and coming 4yo's.

He looks as though he's on the way down now and certainly less dynamic than previous campaigns. No. 

 

#3 Humidor $4.20

The shock winner of the Memsie Stakes when darting up the rail over a perceived unsuitable 1400m to salute at odds of $21.

He has always had plenty of quality and there was no fluke in that win against a field of genuine Group 1 horses.

Maps to get a similar run this week, where he will get well back from gate 1.

On this occasion however, look for him to work to the outside where he can find clear air and storm home over the top late. 

Loves it third up (5:2-2-0) and should figure in the finish. Yes. 

 

#6 Comin Through $11

Following a successful Winter campaign in Brisbane, he resumed at Randwick in impressive style when winning the Tramway.

This is a step-up in quality and although the first-up win was good, it involved a blanket finish featuring horses that would not challenge at weight-for-age (Tom Melbourne and Dixie Blossoms).

Expect this race to be too hot for him and happy to oppose. No. 

 

#10 Kings Will Dream $4.50

Loved both runs this prep where he has stormed home from well back in the field on each occasion, and could easily make a case he should have won at each.

Stretches out to 1600m for this which is a massive tick, as is gate 10 where rider John Allen can be in clear running throughout before unleashing the trademark blistering sprint late.

Extra distance is the key and with any tempo up front, he will run right over the top of them all. Leading chance.

  

#11 Kementari $3.50 > $3.90

Have to be critical of the ride last start in the Memsie, where Glyn Schofield sat 3 and 4 wide for most of the trip when only beaten a neck.

This colt is all class and has the all important "Winx form" from two starts back in the Winx Stakes.

From gate 8, the new rider will be instructed to find a position on this occasion and expect him to atone for the luckless effort last time out.

Has already proven himself something very special in top grade and must go on top.

 

Of The Others

Grunt is an up and coming stayer and deserves a chance to test the waters at this high level. Whilst the advantage under weight for age conditions is not huge for the 4yo's this year, he will be ridden close to speed and kick for a long way in the straight. Could surprise if they crawl up front. 

 

 Tips

1^st  Kementari

2^nd  Kings Will Dream

3^rd  Humidor

4^th Grunt

 

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