05/02/21 Best Bets for Hobart

Early oil for Tasmanian Derby day
AAPTagged: Hobart, Best Bet Tips, Jacob Bevis
Hobart Cup weekend begins late on Friday afternoon, with a competitive eight-race card headlined by the $150,000 Listed Tasmanian Derby.
The track is rated a Soft 5 but with 90% chance of rain predicted for the afternoon and evening, a downgrade is likely.
The rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Punters should watch the first few races to get a guide on how the surface will play, especially given the current weather forecast.
Best bets from Jacob Beavis
Hobart Race 2 Tip #2 War Correspondent $1.80
All eyes will be on the exciting Glenn Stevenson trained gelding as he resumes from a break in the $30,000 Carbine Club Plate.
He produced a 2.75-length win in the 3YO Cup over 1200m at Launceston in November before spelling.
He makes his return to competitive racing off the back of two impressive trials, and is yet to miss the quinella in his career (6:2-4-0).
From barrier 6, look for jockey Ismail Toker to settle him on speed before pushing the button at the top of the straight, proving too strong for his rivals.
He’ll take some beating in this!
Hobart Race 6 Tip #5 Lucky Lil $2.10
The consistent Scott Brunton trained 5YO mare has had four starts this preparation for one win and two placings.
She flew home from the tail of the field and finished half a length behind subsequent winner Supalopo last start over 1600m at Launceston, which looks to be the strongest form.
She returns to her home track, and jockey David Pires jumps back on with a consistent record on the mare (6:3-1-1).
From barrier 3, look for Pires to settle her close to midfield before making a move at the top of the straight to give her every possible chance to win.
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