Form Guide Lay

24/8/19 Horse racing Lays of the Day

Bullets to dodge

In this week’s edition of Lays Of The Day, we have identified two runners that appear well under the odds at their current quotes.

The Moonee Valley selection will face a stiff test on debut at the tricky track, whilst at Randwick a popular Godolphin runner is likely to suffer speed map challenges from well back in the field.  

Both should be avoided at their current prices.  

 

Moonee Valley Race 5 #3 Assertive Approach $2.50

Has been racing well winning three of his four career starts, but this is his acid test against a high quality field of group performed winners.

The debut run at Moonee Valley always throws up plenty of question marks and to be diving into him as favourite when he may not handle the track appears suicidal. 

The mugs will chime in based on the good strike rate, however race experience is likely to count for more here and I expect a significant market drift out beyond $3.00. 

First try around the tight Valley circuit and in a hot field…leave me out of the poison $2.50! Lay.

 

Randwick Race 6 #7 Deprive $3.10 

Very wary of the early support, however I simply can't get him this short, in what appears a deep field in terms of quality. 

As always, the Godolphin factor is likely to have him artificially short and when they jump as favourite, this aspect is normally pronounced on the tote.

The speed map has them running along at a fast tempo. However, I’m not convinced they will fly up front and this runner will be getting well back in hope that they do.

He is likely to be buried back along the inside and even with a moderate tempo, expect it to be no easy task to extricate and find clean air for an uninterrupted run home.

Will the rail be on or off at this stage in the day? There's too much uncertainty to bank on a smooth run in transit.

The speed map looks ugly for me and happy to risk at the current odds. Lay.  

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

14/2/20 SKY Racing Tips review

 Tony Brassel (NSW) $2,710 cash profit, 54% POT Follow .....

Feb 15, 2020 12:04PM
READ MORE

15/2/20 Harness racing tips: Albion Park

Only a small eight race card is scheduled for Albion Park tonight. There has been plenty of rain around all week.....

Feb 15, 2020 08:12AM
READ MORE

Best horse racing tips today: David Gately 15/02/20

With the Warwick Farm meeting washed out last Saturday, punters were paying extra attention to C F Orr Stakes day at Cau.....

Feb 14, 2020 06:48AM
READ MORE

14/02/20 Racing.com Tips review

 Matt Welsh (VIC) $820 cash profit, 48% POT Follow  B.....

Feb 14, 2020 06:02PM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Top 5 Tipsters

1.
PUNTER
213% POT
Get Tips
2.  robbierocket..
PRO
206% POT
3.  doctorevil
PRO
126% POT
4.  pentagon
PUNTER
124% POT
5.  ErrolScott
PUNTER
118% POT
View Full Leaderboard

Next Race to Jump

TURF PARADISE R4 Tip
TURF PARADISE R5 Tip
TURF PARADISE R6 Tip
TURF PARADISE R7 Tip
TURF PARADISE R8 Tip
STAWELL R1 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R1 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R2 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R3 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R4 Tip
YONKERS R1 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R5 Tip
HATRICK R1 Tip
HATRICK R2 Tip
HATRICK R3 Tip
HATRICK R4 Tip
HATRICK R5 Tip
THE MEADOWS R1 Tip

More Racing news you might like

14/02/20 Racing.com Tips review

 Matt Welsh (VIC) $820 cash profit, 48% POT Follow  B.....

READ MORE

15/02/20 Ascot tips and best bets

Racing returns to Ascot this week after a weekend down at Pinjarra for WA's Magic Millions meeting. A couple of Bob P.....

READ MORE

15/02/20 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free racing tips from Michael Gannon Click here to get free tip alerts so that you never miss out on Michael's se.....

READ MORE

15/02/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

With the wash out at Warwick Farm last week, we hope early shoppers re-invested at Caulfield. Two of our four market .....

READ MORE

15/02/20 Flemington Tips and best bets

Flemington plays host to a huge nine-race card this Saturday, with the Group One Black Caviar Lightning headlining the a.....

READ MORE

15/02/20 Randwick tips and best bets

Royal Randwick plays host to a cracking nine-race card on Saturday, featuring four Group races headlined by the Apollo S.....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2020 S92 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.