Flemington Barriers

10/8/19 Flemington tips and best bets for Saturday Racing

Best bets at Flemington

Flemington plays host to a cracking day of winter racing on Saturday, headlined by the Group 3 Aurie's Star down the famous straight.

The track is rated a Soft 6, with the rail out 10m the entire circuit.

With light showers expected over the coming days and 8-10mm of rain forecast on race day, the track looks likely to stay rain affected. 

Punters can expect the track to offer some favours to on-pace runners over the middle-distance races. 

In the sprint races, look for jockeys to head down the outside fence with those drawn middle to wide having a slight advantage on their rivals. 

 

Flemington Race 3 Tip #18 Ruban Bleu $19.00 each-way

The son of Artie Schiller has opened up big odds here and could well cause an upset against his more favoured rivals. 

Unlike the two shorter priced favourites who are both first-up, this gelding is rock hard fit being four runs in and he'll relish the testing conditions of a rain affected track. 

His last start third over this track and distance was enough to suggest he's a winning chance here.

On a Soft 5, he settled to the rear of the field and flashed late, running within 1.4 lengths of the talented Sylvia's Mother. 

That horse is a Group quality galloper and would no doubt open a short price favourite if she was contesting this race. 

Ruban Bleu has drawn perfectly in barrier 12 for the run down the straight and a repeat of his last start effort has him right in this. 

He's well over the odds and will be flying at them late. 

 

Flemington Race 4 Tip #2 Tshahitsi $3.00

This eight-year-old veteran of the turf showed he has plenty left to offer last start, bringing up his 13th career win over the 1400m at Caulfield.

That was his second run off a 490-day break and you'd expect him to strip fitter now third-up. 

His previous third-up run came in the Group One C.F Orr Stakes, where he finished 3.45 lengths off Hartnell. 

There is no doubt the stable will have him set to peak for this run and if apprentice Teodore Nugent can remain patient behind noted leader Jungle Edge, then Tshahitsi will prove very hard to beat.  

Look for Nugent to head to the grandstand side, sit one or two lengths off Jungle Edge and push the button at the 200m. 

The early market move from $3.40 to $3.00 suggests he's ready to peak and will be fighting out the finish. 

Australia's biggest racing resources are referencing theGreatTipOff.com to quote horse racing tipster statistics. We're the authority on profitable tipsters. 

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Michael Gannon

Michael Gannon

Michael is a life-long punter who enjoys the challenge of unearthing value buried within betting markets. The ex golf pro knows a thing or two about performing under pressure.

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