Form Guide Lay

13/7/19 Horse Racing Lays of the Day

Caulfield casualties

We look to continue our perfect strike rate from last week, with two warm favourites at Caulfield that both appear well under the odds in current betting.

Our first selection in the opening race will remind punters that taking short odds in 2yo races is rarely an easy watch.

We then turn our attention to race five, where the high profile Godolphin stable should ensure our second selection starts well under the odds.

Avoid both at all costs. Lay.

 

Caulfield Race 1 #1 Can’t Be Done $3.10

Is forced to face a field stacked with ability here and appears to have come up far too short at $3.10.

I wasn’t completely convinced by the Sandown win, where she had a luxury run close to speed and was entitled to sprint well off the front.

Whilst the speed map has her leading here, a high-pressure race is expected from these 2 year-olds, which is unlikely to see her left alone.

With the rail only out 3m, this gives the opportunity for one of her rivals to get the suck run back in behind the front runners, before peeling and charging late.

The price can only get longer as we approach the jump and this runner should be avoided at all costs. Lay. 

 

Caulfield Race 5 #3 Organza $1.90

Has been very well found at the price by the public mug money, as is normally the case with any Godolphin runner who has shown ability.

However, I highly doubt the Ipswich Listed form holds up here.

First try at Caulfield and first anti-clockwise run are both strong reasons to oppose her at the poison $1.90. 

She will get back in the run to near midfield or worse, and she'll need luck picking her way through from either position. 

The mugs will love the “Team Blue” factor and compress the price artificially on the tote. The value is clearly elsewhere. Lay. 

If you prefer to learn about horses that professional form analysts think can win rather than lose then check-out our horse racing tips market where every tipsters shows validated profits.

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

25/01/20 Harness racing tips: Albion Park

Despite only an eight race card sheduled for Albion Park on Saturday night, there are some very nice races with both t.....

Jan 25, 2020 10:32AM
READ MORE

22/01/20 SKY Racing Tips review

 Tony Brassel (NSW) $1,550 cash profit, 27% POT Follow .....

Jan 25, 2020 09:46AM
READ MORE

24/01/20 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Mark Hunter review

Mark Hunter delivered a hefty profit for all his followers last week. His Flemington tips generated a bumper profit o.....

Jan 25, 2020 09:46AM
READ MORE

25/1/20 Caulfield Tips and best bets

Caulfield plays host to a strong nine-race card this Saturday, where the rail is out 6m the entire circuit.  The track .....

Jan 24, 2020 03:42PM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Today's Racing Top 5

boomgates31
Punter
600% POT
thedott
Punter
220% POT
Jaymaw100
Punter
200% POT
Macca110
Punter
96% POT
Mark Hunter
Pro
47% POT
Full Leaderboard
Kevin Casey
705% POT
Laurie Sains..
340% POT
Stephen Rodg..
223% POT
Michael Manl..
220% POT
Samuel Hylan..
200% POT
 
Kevin Casey 705% POT
Laurie Sains.. 340% POT
Stephen Rodg.. 223% POT
Michael Manl.. 220% POT
Samuel Hylan.. 200% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

25/1/20 Caulfield Tips and best bets

Caulfield plays host to a strong nine-race card this Saturday, where the rail is out 6m the entire circuit.  The track .....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Ascot tips and best bets

Summer racing is back at Ascot this Saturday for the Australia Day long weekend. After a week of mild weather.....

READ MORE

24/1/20 Moonee Valley Tips: Australia Stakes Preview

Distance 1200m Grade Group 2  Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $200,000 .....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Caulfield Tips: Blue Diamond Fillies Preview

Distance 1000m Grade Group 3  Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $160,000 .....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

We struck at both key venues last week, including the ultra impressive two-year-old Cellsabeel in the opener at Rosehill.....

READ MORE

25/1/20 Randwick tips and best bets

A drying Royal Randwick plays host to a competitive nine-race card this Saturday.  With fine weather predicted in the l.....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2020 S92 thegreattipoff.com

Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Users must be at least 18 years old.

thegreattipoff.com (the "site") is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our Terms and Conditions are listed here.