The Randwick track is currently rated a Heavy 8 with the rail out 3m the entire circuit. There is more rain forecast to fall in Sydney on Saturday with 6-8mm expected. Punters should expect a deteriorating Randwick track if the rain does come on race day.
This set-up has historically offered favours to runners who can sit off the lead and find cover. Those drawn in middle barriers are suited, with the best going in the straight set to be seven to eight lanes off the inside rail.
Randwick Race 4 # 2 Araaja
The Chris Waller trained import has impressed in her two Australian starts and looks well suited stepping out to the 2000m. Now third-up this preparation and with an impressive 5:2-1-1 record over the distance, you'd expect this French import to be hard to beat.
Drawn barrier two in a field of eight, jockey Tye Angland will sit just off the likely leader Lovani until they turn for home. Expect Angland to then peel wide in search of the best ground, and then tear away from the opposition late.
Her wet-track form looks okay on paper, however a watch on the betting markets will give you a better indication if the stable is confident she'll handle the conditions.
Araaja is currently $2.60 fixed odds.
Randwick Race 9 #5 Fragonard
The James Cummings trained runner was luckless at her previous start when ridden upside down from the wide barrier. Jumping from gate 14, the mare showed good gate speed but was restrained to near last to find cover and was never fully tested.
Drawn perfectly for this race in barrier seven, jockey Josh Parr will be able to take a more forward position and sit two or three lengths off the leader to get the run of the race.
Watch for Parr to look for better ground on the home turn and boot clear over the concluding stages for victory.
The heavy track is a plus with her only start in the wet producing a win in a BM70 at Sandown Lakeside by six lengths, where she led all the way.
Fragonard is currently $6.50 fixed odds.
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