This week’s selections identify two runners with genuine run on profiles, who are engaged in races that look to be staked full of speed.
Whilst Mooney Valley can often favour on-pace runners and exhibit strong leader bias, these particular races look like being a graveyard for natural leaders due to their unfavourable draws.
Race 3 #1 William Thomas
Was ultra impressive last start when winning at Caulfield after overcoming difficulties throughout the run, where he was severely held-up on that occasion.
He’s very well found here after that run, however still believe the current $3.30 on offer with most bookies is value (could take anything down to $3.00) and suspect the big punters will come for him again, late in betting.
Has drawn well in gate 3 this week where gun hoop Damien Lane should have him in the premier position, one off and midfield shortly after jumping.
There looks to be plenty of speed drawn wider from the likes of I Am Someone, Huge Action and Camila Lucinda, all of which will cross and set up a nice tempo for the run on profile horses. Expect him to be running over the top of them late.
Race 9 #7 Proud Wolf
Going wide in betting here to find one that looks to get a gun trail midfield behind what appears to be a hot speed race on paper.
This gelding jumps from gate 4 and has a natural profile to settle midfield or worse.
There is a significant chance they go warp speed here, with natural on pacers Inn Keeper and Little Bita Spunk drawn off the track and other speedster Wise Hero with the pole position. This speed battle sets it up perfectly for the run on types.
Last start he finished a close up 2 of 8 at Flemington, where he ran on strongly from midfield to just miss against the highly talented Malibu Style. Distance specialist who represents great value at the current $21 most bookies are offering.