Noire 091217

Doomben Racing G.H. Mumm Stakes Preview 2018

Tagged: Doomben

Quality milers on show

A field of high class milers from around the country line up here for the G.H. Mumm, in what shapes as an intriguing betting affair.

Early markets have favourite Jamaican Rain marked $3.00, with plenty of value to be found if desired selections are elsewhere.

Look for those on the fresher side and avoid runners that have already experienced a number of hard runs over the Queensland Winter carnival this season.

 

Race Track Race Track Traits

Doomben is currently rated a Good 4 with the rail out 3.5m the entire circuit and fine weather predicted in the lead up to and on Saturday.

The track has been heavily criticised throughout the Queensland winter carnival with leading jockeys and trainers expressing concern surrounding what is best described as a shifting surface, with plenty of fill in patches across the track.

These conditions lead some to believe a number of the upset results are the product of the inconsistent surface.

A close watch is advised from race one and throughout the day, to determine any preferred lanes.

 

Market Movers Market Movers

Favourite Jamaican Rain has received some early market attention, into $3 from $3.30 openers. The other highly fancied runner, Noire, has been rock solid at the $3.30 quote, whilst Ulmann and Grande Rosso have both softened in the market.

 

Horse Racing Key Runners

#1 Hopfgarten $11

Queensland warhorse who was impressive winning here last start when he came from well back to win in listed grade.

Is always competitive at this level and from gate 9, will drop back as is his normal pattern.

Slight knock this being his fifth start this prep and risks being over the top. No.

 

#2 Ulmann $4.50 > $4.80

Was backed off the map in early betting last start where he ran well and had excuses when just going down to the top weight here.

Suspect he can turn the tables on Hopfgarten considering the trouble he encountered throughout the run last time and the excellent SP profile, where he has been heavily backed early in previous starts. Top hope.

 

#3 Grande Rosso $7.50 > $8.50

Team Snowden present one here that is slightly on the fresher side than most of these, being third up into this.

That could be the key, as a few of the field have had gut busters on the shifting Doomben surface their past few.

Last start, he kept chasing to the line at Rosehill albeit in lesser grade, before that finished a close up seventh in listed grade at Scone.

Suspect the Snowdens think plenty of him and am very wary. Leading chance.

 

#6 Sheiswhatsheis $7

Loves to dictate on-speed and is likely to find the front again here with only a moderate tempo predicted.

If she gets it cheap she'll just keep on kicking, although does face some much better quality here and is profiling over the top, being sixth-up.

Lack of speed will work heavily in her favour. Could pinch it.

 

#7 Noire $3.60

Was soft late in betting at her last two which is a concern, however can put that down to the changing track bias throughout the day as opposed to ability.

Waller is just so formidable when traveling them from Sydney and he must have a huge opinion to be coming up here for this.

Could just blow them away and must go on top.

 

#10 Jamaican Rain $3.30 > $3.00  

Is the boom horse from Melbourne who has taken all before him at his past two when winning both impressively.

This represents a steep class rise and will only be her second try at stakes level. Although the wraps are enormous and she does drop right down in the weights, I am happy to take her on in this considering the rise in class and ugly speed map.

Expect a market drift late. No

 

Of The Others

Cantbuybetter is another on the fresher side and has come up big odds here in betting at $34. Maps beautifully and could be the blowout.

 

Horse Racing Tips Tips

1st Noire

2nd Grande Rosso

3rd Ulmann

4th Sheiswhatsheis

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

Horse racing general image Melbourne

20/9/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Mark Hunter review

There's no doubt that Mark Hunter has firmly established himself as one of Australia's most consistent expe.....

Sep 20, 2019 10:22AM
READ MORE

Caulfield Turn

21/8/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: David Gately review

David Gately has been on an incredible run over the past five weeks. If you had followed his exclusive staking plan, .....

Sep 20, 2019 06:59PM
READ MORE

Perth Racing

21/9/19 Belmont best bets and tips

We witnessed something very special last Saturday, when Jade McNaught rode six of the nine winners on the card including.....

Sep 20, 2019 06:19PM
READ MORE

Pippie

21/9/19 Best bets for Caulfield: Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Day

Caulfield is currently rated a Good 4 for Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes day, with the rail out 3m the entire circuit. W.....

Sep 20, 2019 06:12PM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Today's Racing Top 5

Basman
Punter
150% POT
Chewman01
Pro
150% POT
THEGRIMREAPE..
Pro
100% POT
BenBeare
Pro
73% POT
JHRAP
Punter
70% POT
Full Leaderboard
Mick Wallace
140% POT
Steve Daviso..
103% POT
Ray Thomas
85% POT
Nick Quinn
70% POT
Rick McIntos..
70% POT
 
Mick Wallace 140% POT
Steve Daviso.. 103% POT
Nick Quinn 70% POT
Rick McIntos.. 70% POT
Ian Russell 10% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

Pippie

21/9/19 Best bets for Caulfield: Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Day

Caulfield is currently rated a Good 4 for Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes day, with the rail out 3m the entire circuit. W.....

READ MORE

Bookie Ring 060218

21/9/19 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free racing tip from Michael Gannon Michael has delivered 39% Profit on Turnover at Randwick from 85 tips. Get free ti.....

READ MORE

EarlyMarketMovers

21/9/19 Horse racing tips from early market moves

We got off to a flyer last week, with our first three selections saluting at Flemington and an early winner at Rosehill......

READ MORE

Form Guide Lay

21/9/19 Horse racing Lays of the Day

In terms of risk reward propositions, they don’t come much better than this week's Lay selection at Randwick. We have a.....

READ MORE

Classique Legend

21/9/19 Randwick tips and best bets: The Shorts

Distance 1100m Grade Group 2 Track Rating Heavy 9 Prizemoney $500,000 .....

READ MORE

Angel of Truth

21/9/19 Randwick tips and best bets: George Main Stakes

Distance 1600m Grade Group 1 Track Rating Heavy 9 Prizemoney $500,000 .....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2019 S93 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.