May 18, 2018 11:48 AM
Author: James Beeson
Pro Punters hunting miss-priced runners
Last week our Market Movers model identified 5 winners for readers, where prices at the time of publication still represented value. Even if you took the Best Tote start price you still made 69% profit on turnover from even stakes on each selection.
This week we have identified a small but select number of runners at both Doomben and Morphettville, where it appears professional money has been active due to the savage nature of the move in early betting markets.
Market Movers at Doomben
Lets Party Marty
Strong SP profile where he started odds-on at the Sunshine Coast last start and just missed. Looks to get all the favours here including gate 3, Jeff Lloyd and the suitable step up in distance. Will race close to speed if not leading and from the premier striking position can pounce and win.
Finds a slightly weaker race than the Bat Out of Hell last start where she finished close up in third, only a length from the winner. Was very brave that day when caught wide and endured a torrid run throughout. Can make a case as she should have won last start and gets a more favourable draw here.
Was one of the most savage betting moves you will see last start over “The Bool” carnival, where he raced away to win as he liked. Well up in grade however another strong push here in early betting confirms he should be right up to it. Weir is near untouchable in the big staying contests!
Worked across from a wide gate to lead last start in a fast run race (track record time) and was entitled to drop right out. Instead she kicked away from them in the straight, in what had to be one of the most impressive wins seen this season. Leads and can brain them again.
Market Movers at Morphettville
“The Bool” form is almost always underrated and this fellow comes out of a hot race there last start, where also saw strong market support late in betting. Will get back in the small field, however should still be close enough to charge over the top late.
Leather N Lace
The Weir and Lane combination is an immediate tick as is the good second up record. Has to overcome a wide draw however there is plenty of speed drawn out there with her, and this may provide a nice tow across the face of the field. In play price gets crushed if she finds a position early.
Had to face a number of the top line Group sprinters last start and this is a sharp drop in grade. He certainly wasn’t disgraced in the Euclase when finishing 2.3 lengths from the winner, and given even luck from the gate should be fighting out the finish.