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Greysful Glamour

03/04/21 Best Bets for the Tulloch Stakes & Emancipation Stakes

Greysful Mac set for boil-over

Rosehill Gardens hosts it's final meeting of the Autumn Carnival, with a cracking nine race card scheduled for Saturday afternoon.

The day will be highlighted by two Group 1's, but is well supported by a string of quality stakes events. 

Below we cover the Group 2 Tulloch Stakes and Group 2 Emancipation Stakes.

 

Track Assessment

For the latest insight into how the Rosehill track is expected to play, read our preview of the Vinery and Tancred Stakes here.

 

Rosehill Race 3 - Tulloch Stakes 2000m (G2)

The Map Speed Map

The speed in this race looks to be anywhere from slow to moderate, which will favour those on the pace and or in the first half of the field.

Yaletown (10) will look to stride across from the wide gate and will likely lead or sit outside of The Frontman (1), who has drawn the inside gate. 

Fields of Honour (6) will be prominent with little speed drawn inside him and you can expect him to be joined by Rondino (7), who will follow him across. 

Bob (9) and Just A Jedi (8) will have some serious decisions to make from their draws and could risk getting caught out wide if Prompt Prodigy (5) and Zakspeed (3) kick up from their barriers.

Faverau (12) and Cherry Tortoni (11) have no other choice than to drop back to the rear of the field and will joined by Young Werther (4) and Bahamut (2).

 

The Favourite Horse Racing

Cherry Tortoni ($4.20) has opened the favourite in what looks to be a wide open race.

His run in the Australian Guineas was strong, where he came from last to finish within half a length of Lunar Fox after running some quick sectionals.

Last start, he once again settled near the rear of the field at The Valley and made a very wide turn into the straight before finishing fourth behind Grandslam, who dominated in front.

With the likelihood of a slowly run race and his racing pattern, he is going to be under the pump a long way from home.

I have no doubt that he rates in the top 4 horses in this race, but I think the map and likely track conditions aren't going to do him any favours.

 

Analysis and Tips Horse Racing Tip

The Frontman ($4.60) looks primed and ready to strike in his first run in Australia.

The Group 1 placed son of Makfi has had one trial since heading over the ditch, and he was given a good hit out by jockey Hugh Bowman.

He ran a bold race in the Group 1 New Zealand Derby, finishing 0.3 lengths off the winner. From the inside gate, I expect him to land on-speed, before showing a kick in the straight.

 

Yaletown ($7.00) maps to get the run of the race in front and could be very hard to catch.

The son of Vancouver is reaching peak fitness and with the blinkers coming off, he should settle in the run, which should assist him in seeing out a strong 2000m.

 

Rosehill Race 4 - Emancipation Stakes 1500m (G2) 

The Map Speed Map

We have 11 runners in this year's Emancipation Stakes and the speed looks moderate throughout.

Look for Greysful Glamour (5) to head to her usual position in front, with little speed inside her. Sweet Deal (6) and Irithea (7) are drawn to her outside and will follow her into the race. 

Nimalee (1) should kick up into a nice position just off the front trio, with Quatum Mechanic (4) to take a similar position from a good draw. 

All Saints Eve (3) has the option of going forward or back and will likely settle midfield with Krone (2).

I expect Icebath (11), Rich Hips (10) and Amica (9) to get caught wide if they attempt to force their way in. Those three runner will have a big influence in determining the speed of the race. 

Oceanex (8) will go back to complete the field.

Sweet Deal

 

The Favourite Horse Racing

Krone ($3.00) is a deserved favourite after winning three on-the-trot.

She has run new peaks in her last two runs, where she was too good in the Guy Walter at Randwick before again winning impressively at Rosehill in the Group 1 Coolmore Classic.

She has been up a while now, but she continues to hit the mark and I expect no different on Saturday.

Barrier two will allow her to settle a touch closer in the run and I expect the Eurozone mare to continue her form and fight out the finish.

 

Analysis and Tips Horse Racing Tip

After two below par runs in Melbourne, I am banking on Greysful Glamour ($10.00) returning to her best here.

First-up at Flemington, she weakened out of the race which they later found may have been caused by respiratory problems.

She then went to the All Star Mile at Moonee Valley but as soon as the rain hit, her hopes were dashed in a quality field and she tailed off noticeably. She was found to have a poor recovery again.

The galloping grey has made her way back home to Sydney now and gets the perfect set-up for this clash.

She should get an easy lead on a dry track and the booking of James McDonald is a huge tick. I think she is a terrific each-way chance.

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Author Biography

Joshua Reed

Joshua Reed

Josh has been punting on racing all his life. He loves sport in general but racing is his focus, committing tireless hours to form analysis and sharing his views with the betting public.

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