11/4/20 Caulfield Tips and best bets

Caulfield plays host to a quality nine race card on Saturday, which features two Group 3 events. 

The Easter Cup over 2000m and the Thurgood Anniversary Cup over 1400m will headline the day's horse racing action. 

The track is currently rated a Soft 6 and there is fine weather forecast for Melbourne over the next 24 hours. However, there is a good chance of showers on Saturday morning before the meeting so expect a Soft surface at best.

The rail is in the true position and at this set-up, every horse should be awarded a chance.

 

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Caulfield Race 4 Tip #14 Too Good Too Hard $4.20

This Phillip Stokes mare comes here second-up off of a solid effort at Mornington, where she ran on very strongly but just found one better on the day. 

The horse that beat her that day also lines up here (I'm Telling Ya), but Too Good Too Hard gets a weight swing in her favour and is sure to strip fitter second-up. 

From barrier three, I expect her to take up a forward position handy to the speed which should award her every chance.

Dropping back in distance to the 1100m is a slight concern, but if she is more forward in the run here then I expect her to be sharp enough to be competitive at this distance. 

She is lightly raced for a four-year-old, and seems to have a lot of upside. I'm expecting this mare to go on to better things and expect her to get the job done here. 

 

Caulfield Race 7 Tip #10 Scarlet Dream $8.00 

I've been eagerly waiting for this mare's second-up run and it finally comes here over the 2000m in the G3 Easter Cup.

Her performance first-up over 1600m at Caulfield was eye catching. She ran the fastest last 400m and 200m of the entire meeting, which is very good for a race over the mile.

She strips fitter here second-up and stepping out to the 2000m looks ideal. 

On paper, her form at this distance reads 4:0-0-0. When you look closer however, those runs were mainly at Group 2 level behind some very smart types like Etana and Finche.

She even has form behind multiple Group 1 winner Verry Elleegant, finishing second to her in the ATC Oaks last year. 

This is not a strong Group 3 contest by any standard. She's at the pointy end of her preparation, compared to her other competitors who are surely nearing the end. 

The $8.00 on offer looks way over the odds and I have her priced near to half of that quote. 

Drawn perfectly in barrier 2, she will get a lovely run and is well weighted. I'm very bullish about her chances. 

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For a list of all the tipsters who have posted Caulfield tips for Saturday's racing meet, checkout the dedicated page at theGreatTipOff.com.