Ancestry

20/02/21 Caulfield Tips for the Oakleigh Plate

Track pattern key

Distance 1100m
Grade Group 1
Track Rating Good 4 
Prizemoney $500,000
Class Handicap
2020 winner  Pippie ($8.00)

The Oakleigh Plate is typically run at warp speed and this year's edition looks no different.

The track pattern has historically been a factor on this day at Caulfield, where on-pace can be a distinct advantage. Defending champ Pippie took full advantage of this when winning the race last year.

However if the track plays fair, the run-on profiles will be suited. 

I am with one who is shooting for 5 straight wins and from an inside draw, should race on-speed and prove too good. 

 

Race Track Race Caulfield Track Traits

The Caulfield surface is currently rated a Good 4, with the rail in the True position for the entire circuit.

As mentioned, the track can favour on-speed runners at Caulfield and a close watch is advised early to determine any fast lanes or bias.  

 

Speed Map

Expect this race to be a brutal contest up front, with plenty of noted early speed types engaged.

Ancestry (4) won't be wasting the gun draw and is the most likely to push up and lead. 

Anders (17), Mizzy (16) and How Womantic (11) all have early speed and are likely to press forward.

If the track plays fair, the midfield profiles appear suited with both Ranting (9) and Garner (2) to hold an advantage off a hot tempo.

 

Market Movers Racing Market Movers

Race favourite Ancestry remains steady around the $5.50 mark.

The early move in betting has been for Brooklyn Hustle, who is into $13 from $17 openers.   

 

Horse Racing Key Runners

#1 Zoutori $11

Has the quality after showing enough (4 of 10) in the Group 1 VRC Sprint Classic to round out last prep.

He is asked to lump the top-weight 58kg here and will be well found in betting, due to the high-profile jockey booking of Jamie Kah.

Comes up well under the odds to my eye and is one to avoid. 

 

#2 Dirty Work $9.00 

Loves to sit just off a hot tempo and gather them in late, conditions he should receive in this race.

From gate 1, expect them to sit midfield tucked in behind before hunting for the splits at the 200m mark.

He just needs a touch of luck to  be extricating from the inside and if he gets it, watch out!

Dirty Work

 

#4 Standout $16

Promised the world early in his career with a stallion deal all but signed off on.

He has since mixed his form last prep and appears well below his best.

They are desperately trying to achieve the Group 1 for stud value, and I doubt they can secure it here. No. 

 

#6 Ancestry $5.50

Has an ultra-impressive overall record (13:8-0-1) and arrives here looking for 5 straight wins.

The Phillip Stokes yard are white-hot and would have this gelding cherry ripe for this first-up assignment.

Gate 4 is perfect and they should race close to speed in an ideal striking position. If there is any leader/close to speed bias, he will be awfully hard to run down. 

 

#7 Celebrity Queen $8.00

WA raider who is highly talented and deserves her chance taking on the Group 1 Melbourne class.

She was excellent last prep in the weaker Perth features and the trainer does know the right horse to travel.

With no weight (53.5kg), she will be rattling home late. 

 

#9 Brooklyn Hustle $13

Has struggled since the visually impressive first-up Moonee Valley win to kick off last prep.

The hype is not justified for this mare and I expect her to find this race far too hot. Avoid. 

 

#10 Garner $16

Did enough first up (3 of 10) here in the Rubiton to suggest he is ready now.

The Gordon Richards camp are very shifty and would have this runner set to peak.

Jumping from gate 2, they have the tactical speed to hunt up and sit just in behind the hot tempo. 

 

#15 Portland Sky $15

Was absolutely blessed with the perfect on-speed run when winning here last start, and is not likely to receive those favours again here.

Happy to risk.

 

#16 Hanseatic $16

Has the talent, however will need plenty of luck from the horror draw in gate 18.

I expect a significant market drift and I am happy to oppose. 

Hanseatic

 

#17 Ranting $17

Arrives first-up with no weight (50kg) and does have the ability to trouble a few of his more fancied rivals.

He was excellent last prep when winning at Group 2 level before showing enough (8 of 11) in a hot Coolmore Stud Stakes.

From gate 9, they could find the ideal position midfield in the moving line. Good odds. 

 

#18 Anders $8.00

Is another desperate to get to stud following the Widden Stud deal, and when they have this pressure on it can often be a negative.

I believe he is just a number here and won't be troubling the judge. No. 

Anders

 

Of The Others

#12 Prophets Thump comes up big odds at the current $26 quote and is from the shrewd Freedman stable, who should have the horse ready to peak.

The rider Dean Yendall would love to knock over the higher profile jockeys in a big Group 1. 

 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Ancestry  

2nd  Garner 

3rd  Ranting

4th  Dirty Work  

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

03/03/21 Harness racing tips for Wednesday night

We're back to Bathurst tonight in pursuit of another fill up from our resident harness tipster.  A 9 race ca.....

Mar 03, 2021 03:43PM
READ MORE

03/03/21 Racing Tipster of the week

Horse racing tipster of the week It was a sensational week from the SKY Racing tipsters, with three of them cracking .....

Mar 03, 2021 12:01PM
READ MORE

03/03/21 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free horse racing tips from Adrian Sciglitano Back Adrian's HOT Bets! Adrian tipped punters into Verry Ellee.....

Mar 03, 2021 08:28AM
READ MORE

02/03/21 Best bets for horse racing at Bendigo

Best Bets from Rick Morris We head to one of Australia's most popular provincial racecourses on Tuesday afternoon, as.....

Mar 02, 2021 09:52AM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Top 5 Tipsters

1.
315% POT
Get Tips
2.  DiscoDanny
PUNTER
270% POT
3.  kendo7
PUNTER
117% POT
4.  THEGRIMREAPER
PRO
100% POT
5.  RickMorris
PUNTER
100% POT
View Full Leaderboard

Next Race to Jump

TURF PARADISE.. R7 Tip
TURF PARADISE.. R8 Tip
PORT MACQUARI.. R1 Tip
WERRIBEE R1 Tip
PORT MACQUARI.. R2 Tip
WERRIBEE R2 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R3 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R4 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R5 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R6 Tip
NORTHFIELD PA.. R7 Tip
YONKERS R1 Tip
SHEPPARTON R1 Tip
MOUNT GAMBIER R1 Tip
SHEPPARTON R2 Tip
MOUNT GAMBIER R2 Tip
SHEPPARTON R3 Tip
MOUNT GAMBIER R3 Tip

More Racing news you might like

02/03/21 Best bets for horse racing at Bendigo

Best Bets from Rick Morris We head to one of Australia's most popular provincial racecourses on Tuesday afternoon, as.....

READ MORE

01/03/21 Horse Racing Tips for NSW country racing

Horse Racing tips from Michael Gannon We head to the Central West Region of NSW this afternoon, where Cowra hosts a c.....

READ MORE

28/02/21 Horse Racing Tips for Hong Kong Racing

Sha Tin hosts a strong 10 race card this afternoon, which will be held on the turf "B+2" course. The weather in Hong .....

READ MORE

27/02/21 Harness racing tips for Saturday night

Back Michael's HOT Bets! Michael's tips have turned $100 into $43,735 over the past 365-days! Now you ca.....

READ MORE

27/02/21 Saturday racing tips and best bets

Saturday racing tips from Rick Morris Back Rick's HOT Bets! Rick is on fire! His tips have yielded 6% Profit on .....

READ MORE

27/02/21 Randwick Tips for Saturday Racing

Punters are met with a cracking 9-race card this Saturday, headlined by the Group 1 Chipping Norton Stakes.  The Grou.....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2021 S92 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.