MarkeMovers

15/02/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

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With the wash out at Warwick Farm last week, we hope early shoppers re-invested at Caulfield.

Two of our four market mover tips booted home on C F Orr Stakes day to deliver punters a thumping 75% POT.

We turn our attention to the key venues of Flemington and Randwick this week, where our proven model has detected more smart money moves.

As always, a further push in betting close to start time will create extreme confidence with the below selections. 

 

Flemington Tips   

Flemington Tips

 

Over Exposure

Was a complete forgive run last start at the Gold Coast, where he drew a low gate and was never a hope when racing on the inferior inside section.

The start before at Eagle Farm, he was heavily backed late ($11 into $8.50) which suggests he is going well enough. 

He could easily bounce back to winning form here.   

 

Mildred

The trainer was ultra confident at trackwork prior to her last start Caulfield win, however not many listened and she went around at odds of $13.

She led on that occasion and blew them all away.

From the favourable draw in gate 1, expect her to again race on-speed and be very hard to run past.  

 

Alligator Blood

Looks a superstar in the making, with dominant wins at his past three starts and a close miss in the Caulfield Guineas to the smart Super Seth. 

He is very adaptable and can race on or off speed, which makes him bombproof here.

Expect them to lead and take bad luck out of the equation by doing it at both ends. Yes. 

 

Reflectivity 

Not all went to plan last start at Flemington, when he was trapped wide with no cover, yet still had the audacity to win.

Although drawn wide in gate 11, he has the tactical speed to roll across and find a position.

He looks as tough as teak and given a more charmed run here, looks very hard to beat.  

 

Randwick Tips

Randwick Tips

 

Harbouring   

Ran midfield last start in a Highway race here over 1500m, after over-racing through the mid stages.

He looks to have the talent and just needs to settle throughout to be running on hard at the end.

The step up to 1800m should allow him to find a more relaxed rhythm. 

 

Birth Of Venus     

Will have her work cut out against a very smart one in She’s Ideel, however when the money comes for the Waller/Avdulla combination it must be respected. 

The step up to 2400m is perfect and she enjoys a Heavy surface (1:1-0-0)

Very wary and she can certainly turn the tables on the favourite. 

 

Sei Stella   

Is a genuine speedster, who is effective leading or taking the sit.

Expect them to press forward here from the mid-draw in gate 5, and should be finding the front.

If the other runners don’t attack early, the race should be hers.   

 

Special Reward   

Was hard in the market first-up, before just missing (2 of 7) at this track behind Southern Lad.

He should take good improvement from that run, and be stronger at the finish here.

Expect him to lead and from there, he will be hard to run past. Yes. 

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Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

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