Racing returns to Ascot this week after a weekend down at Pinjarra for WA's Magic Millions meeting.
A couple of Bob Peter's talented three-year-old's look the highlight as we move towards some feature races in the next two months.
After a warm week in Perth, we have 28 degrees and sunny predicted on Saturday.
The track will be rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 1m the entire course. With winds tending South-Westerly, I'm expecting a fair track with races being pace dependant.
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Race 1 TABTOUCH WESTSPEED PLATINUM MAIDEN 1400 (Maiden)
The speed here is expected to be slow, with Blitz Glory and I Hope you Dance potentially leading and Trade Fair Express handy from barrier one.
Diamond Trade has had a few chances now, but on exposed form her best can be good enough here. Third-up and stepping up to 1400m are positives this time.
From the midfield draw, Turner can get her a pair closer in the run and if she can reproduce her second-up effort, she is the one to beat.
Trade Fair Express comes from the same race as Diamond Trade, where he was narrowly beaten. From barrier one he should get a soft run behind the leaders and get his chance.
Forgotten Jewel was a nice trial winner on Monday. The win was one of the slower times for the day, but he looked good in doing it.
He showed speed from the wide draw on that occasion and it will be interesting to see what the tactics are here from gate 8, especially with the lack of pace in the race.
Phandieri is a tough horse to catch, but on her day has shown enough ability. There is just no way of knowing which horse will show up.
Race 1 Tips
1stDiamond Trade
2ndTrade Fair Express
3rdForgotten Jewel
4thPhandieri
Race 5 CYRIL FLOWER STAKES (Listed)
The speed should be good in this race. Look for Flower Of War to hold the top with Baraki Beats, and Valour Road and Saracino to follow.
Valour Road was no match for Cup Night last start, who could be a potential star. None of the horses here would get near Cup Night. If Pike can land the 1x1 from the slightly awkward draw, he will take a stack of beating.
Flower Of War was enormous last weekend, when it looked like her winning chances were up in flames. She faces her toughest test to date, but if she has gotten over the tough run off the quick back-up she can go close from the front.
The Celt is still looking for further, but does have a bit of class about him and can be competitive at this level.
Flow is a bit of an enigma, but on his day he can be in the finish here.
Race 5 Tips
1stValour Road
2ndFlower of War
3rdThe Celt
4thFlow
Race 7 AMELIA PARK HANDICAP 1500m (66+)
Expect a good temp here, with Patristic rolling along out in front. Lorentino, Avidus and Utgard Loki all handy.
Patristic was gunned down late by a very smart horse last start, who was aided by a 11/10 ride from the wizard. You can't be too upset about that and I see no reason to jump off.
Finds the front from the good draw and with 55kg on his back, he will roll them along out in front. With no inspirational girls to chase him he looks very hard to catch and the one to beat.
Lorentinio got a mile out of his ground first-up and was never a winning chance. Second-up today and from a good gate, he will settle a lot closer to chase the leader and is a genuine threat.
Debellatio mixes his form a bit these days, but is another who should get a good run behind the speed and if at his best will be suited and run well.
Gunnago Hasn't won for a while, but has found a suitable speed map here. He'll get back in the run, but will appreciate the speed and will be hitting the line well.
Justin has a strong knowledge of WA provincial and metropolitan tracks and thoroughbreds. He limits his focus to this area of racing as his experience has indicated that it is more predictable. Justin's analysis identifies trends in runners and applies speed maps and sectional data to find his winners. He assesses markets and looks for value runners to back.
Race 1 Tips
