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  • 01:12:11 AEST
  • Thursday, 21 February 2019
Warwick Farm Finish

9/2/19 Best bets at Warwick Farm

Tagged: Best bet tips

Quaddie tips at The Farm

Warwick Farm plays host to Saturday metropolitan racing in Sydney, with the Group 2 Yarraman Park Breeders Classic the feature race of the day. 

The big stables have plenty of talented runners returning for their Autumn campaign, mixed with some talented types that have stood up over the summer.

This will provide us with some mouth-watering racing. 

The rail is in the true position, with the track rated a Good 4.

There are some light showers predicted in the lead up to Saturday but with temperatures predicted to be in the low thirties, the track is likely to improve on race day. 

With the rail in the true and the anticipated dry surface, on-pace runners should get favours, with the best going in the straight about 3-4 lanes off the fence.    

 

Race 6 Yarraman Park Breeders Classic (Group 2) 1200m

For a Group 2 event, there is a distinct lack of early-speed engaged here with Alassio (8) to get her own way in front. 

White Moss (9) will tag Alassio across, with Cool Passion (2) and short-priced favourite Champagne Cuddles (4) settling behind them. 

Group 1 winner Egg Tart (1) and Magic Millions Sprint winner Egyptian Symbol (10) will settle at the back of the field behind a predicted slow-tempo.  

Champagne Cuddles is a genuine Group 1 galloper who is well in at the weight, only carrying 1kg above the minimum. She has drawn to get the run of the race and looks a class above her rivals. 

Alassio looks set to get a picnic in front and will give Champagne Cuddles something to chase. She lacks the quality of the top pick, but can hang on for second. 

Cool Passion has a Group 3 victory to her name and has an outstanding record at the 1200m. Her first-up stats are only fair, but off a nice trial she'll be thereabouts. 

Egg Tart won't be suited over the 1200m and by the slow tempo. However, she is a Group One winner and it's easy to see her flying late to finish close to the place getters. 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Champagne Cuddles

2nd  Alassio 

3rd  Cool Passion

4th  Egg Tart

 

Race 7 Inglis Millennium - 2YOs (Listed) 1100m

There is an abundance of early speed in this race.

Expect Espaaniyah (6) and Blazing Miss (4) to fly out of the gates and lead them up. 

Pressure will be applied to the leaders by My Fire Phoenix (5) and Pretty Brazen (8), who have drawn well and have contested the lead in recent runs.   

My Sweet Fish (1) showed plenty of early toe in a recent trial and will push forward. 

Pandano (3) is another who has drawn well and will make full use of the soft draw to position on the speed. 

The predicted early tempo will play right into the hands of the two favourites. 

Dawn Passage (7) has drawn perfectly to sit just beyond mid-field with cover, while Accession (14) must go to last from the wide draw but will be well suited by the fast pace. 

Dawn Passage looks set to get the run of the race, which elevates him to top pick. His last start effort had to be seen to be believed and a repeat of that will see him win this. 

Accession is a deserved second-favourite but will be near last on turning for home. The predicted fast tempo will help and there is no reason to suggest he won't run in the top two.  

Castelvecchio is another back-marker who impressed on debut when jumping as a $101 outsider. Jockey Josh Parr has been in exceptional form and you'd expect him to fly at them late.   

Avon River looks well suited by the step up to 1200m and is another back-marker who can charge home over the top. 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Dawn Passage

2nd  Accession

3rd  Castelvecchio

4th  Avon River

 

Race 8 Bowness Stud Mile (Handicap) 1600m

A competitive mile with moderate early speed engaged. 

Almost Court (5) and Samadoubt (12) will be marked urgent from the barriers to both spear across and contest the lead.  

Gresham (1) is another runner with early speed, and will take a sit next to Dark Eyes (6) behind the leading pair. 

Favoured runners New Universe (2) and Tangled (7) will find themselves beyond mid-field with plenty of work to do.  

Gresham carries only 51kg after the claim from apprentice Robbie Dolan and he gets the soft trail behind the leaders. With three wins and five places from ten starts, there is no doubt he's well suited over the mile. Looks a good thing! 

Tangled is the class runner of the field but will be a long way back in the run. He ran above expectation first-up, which suggests he may struggle to improve on that rating second-up. The $3.80 is too short, he's worth risking at that price. 

Samadoubt should lead them up and stick on for a long way. Has a win at the track and distance and can fill a place. 

Dark Eyes will be stalking the leaders and can fight on to run fourth. At the $51 quote, he will add value for those playing wider exotics. 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Gresham 

2nd  Tangled 

3rd  Samadoubt

4th  Dark Eyes

 

Race 9 TAB Handicap (BM 78) 1600m

The final race on the card looks a great contest over the mile.

With only a moderate tempo predicted, you can expect some favours to on-pace runners. 

Rapido Chaparro (6) will head to the front and find the lead, with stablemate Sondelon (8) sitting to his outside.  

Love Shack Baby (9) and Honey Esprit (10) can both push forward, however they face the likelihood of being caught three-wide if the likes of Matowi (1) and Sparky Lad (6) opt for a more forward position.  

Sondelon did enough last start to suggest he can go on with it. He's one from one second-up and with a nice time of it in the lead, he can return to the winner's circle. 

Matowi has drawn to do no work behind a soft tempo. He drops in weight off a nice last start victory and can go on with it. 

Rapido Chaparro will get a soft run up front and looks suited dropping back to the 1600m. His latest trial suggests he can bounce back from his last start disappointment. 

Zidane will have plenty of work to do from back in the field, but is up to winning this.

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Sondelon 

2nd  Matowi 

3rd  Rapido Chaparro

4th  Zidane

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