• Join
  • Login
  • GTO Twitter
  • GTO Facebook
  • 10:42:23 AEST
  • Monday, 18 February 2019
Caulfield Racecourse

Race Preview: CF Orr Stakes 2018

Tagged: Caulfield

G1 CF Orr Stakes: Fitness edge the key at Caulfield

Saturday at Classic Caulfield makes for a great edition of the Group 1 C.F. Orr Stakes. This race always includes some big names returning after last Spring heroics, but also includes those who do have runs under their belt which could be telling.

Speed will be vital and historically if it is slowly run it makes it near impossible for the resuming staying types to run on, and the horse with the tactical speed can hold a significant advantage.

  Race Track Traits

Caulfield is currently rated a Good 3, and with scattered showers predicted throughout Melbourne on Saturday, can only get a bit worse if at all. The track has been racing well over the past two weeks where the rail has been out 9m for both meetings, and it is now back to the true position with a close watch on any early perceived track bias a must.

 

 Market Movers

The market has been relatively quiet for this Group 1, with a slight drift for favourite Tosen Stardom $4.40 out to $4.60, and Brave Smash out to $8.50 from $7 openers. There has been some support for Thronum $12 into $10 and Mr Sneaky into $9 from $10.

 

 Key Runners

#1 Hartnell  $5.50 

On his day would simply brain them! But he has had plenty of time off (13 weeks) since his 20 of 23 finish in the Melbourne Cup and only one trial albeit impressive. A number of these will have the fitness edge and it would be a mighty effort to win first-up. The Melbourne Cup run may have blunted his sprint, and suspect this will be too short. 

 

#2 Black Heart Bart $7 > $6.50

An absolute warrior and is always up for these big Group 1 contests. Suspect he is far from his best, and this started to show in his previous two Group 1 starts in Perth against weaker opposition.  Still there is plenty in his favour: he loves the track and trip here at Caulfield (6:4:1:1) and is almost always contesting at the highest level. Can run well.

 

#3 Tosen Stardom  $4.40 > $4.80

“Dropped from the Clouds on them” for one of the most impressive wins during the Spring Carnival in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes over 1600m. Has had 13 weeks off since and has never won over this trip. Darren Weir and Damien Lane are a lethal combination and whilst there is plenty against could easily blow them away.

 

#4 Brave Smash $7.00 > $8.50

Arrived in Australia and quickly became the spruik horse for the Everest after some very impressive lead up runs. He oozes class and has an electric turn of foot. First-up run was good enough at the Valley over 1200m where he appeared to be very fresh, the 1400m contest suits better here. Expect him to take a sit midfield and come with a withering burst late.

 

#7 Mr Sneaky $10 > $9

Had good market support last start at the Valley and ran on well for second. The 1400m on Saturday will suit and he could be great value. Watch for any significant move inside the last few minutes of betting.

 

#8 Thronum $11

On pacer who burnt them off early last start and kicked clear and held on for a brave win at Mooney Valley. Looks the likely leader again with a few other speedsters including Lord Of The Sky, however if he gets it cheap, will still be there digging in for the fight over the last 50m.

 

#9 Dollar for Dollar $16 > $20

Tony McEvoy has a huge opinion of this fellow and the SP profile always suggests he is showing plenty at home. Did not have the best of luck in his past two runs where was caught wide most recently, and could not run on off the slow tempo the start before. Needs a few things to go right and can atone here if the speed is on. Good value.

 

#11 Shillelagh $10 > $8

Likes this distance (8:2:1:1) and definitely has the class with a last start Group 1 victory. The pattern for her is to get back and if the speed is on she wont be too far away. Will be storming home from the tail provided they don't crawl up front.

 

Of The Others….

Mighty Boss can’t be ignored off the back of his Caulfield Guineas win. Michael Walker is engaged for the shrewd Mick Price yard and they can both weave magic.

 

  Selections

1st  Brave Smash – electric turn of foot.

2nd Dollar for Dollar 

3rd Mr Sneaky

4th Thronum

Share On:

Top Stories

Flemington Finishing Post

16/2/19 Best bets at Flemington 16 February 2019

This week's Flemington card heralds the return of many high quality gallopers that we saw in the Spring, with most on th.....

Feb 15, 2019 08:57AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Randwick grandstand racetrack

16/2/19 Best bets at Randwick

Royal Randwick plays host to Apollo Stakes Day this weekend and what a great meeting it is for punters. The Queen of Au.....

Feb 15, 2019 08:57AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Doomben 230518

16/2/19 Doomben tips and best bets

Doomben is currently rated a Good 4 with the rail out 2m the entire circuit. With fine weather predicted in the lead up.....

Feb 15, 2019 08:56AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Morphettville Track

16/2/19 Morphettville tips and best bets

Morphettville is currently rated a Good 4, with the rail out 8 metres from 1200m to the winning post and 9 metres the re.....

Feb 15, 2019 08:36AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Betting Offers

click and get your bonus today!

* NEW ACC ONLY, EXC NSW, SA, WA & VIC. TURNOVER REQUIREMENTS & EXPIRY PERIOD APPLY. SEE T&CS ON WEBSITE. GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY.



Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff


Yesterday's Racing Top 5

DeaneLester
Pro
170% POT
Beasey86
Pro
128% POT
HOLDINGACES
Pro
84% POT
trevjess
Pro
58% POT
BBbestbets
Pro
51% POT
Full Leaderboard
John Scorse
29% POT
Brendan Tupp..
10% POT
ChrisNelson
4% POT
Ian Russell
- 5% POT
Daniel Borg
- 8% POT
 
Brendan Tupp.. 10% POT
Ian Russell - 5% POT
Michael Manl.. - 11% POT
Matt McDermo.. - 16% POT
Adam Cretten.. - 31% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

Morphettville Track

16/2/19 Morphettville tips and best bets

Morphettville is currently rated a Good 4, with the rail out 8 metres from 1200m to the winning post and 9 metres the re.....

READ MORE right-arrow

EarlyMarketMovers

16/2/19 Horse racing tips for early market moves

A bumper card in both Sydney and Melbourne this week gives punters an excellent opportunity to capitalise on strong mark.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Form Guide Lay

Saturday racing Lays of the Day 16 February 2019

This week’s lay selections feature market fancies at both key venues in Melbourne and Sydney. Both look too well .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Dreamforce

16/2/19 Randwick Tips: Southern Cross Stakes

Distance 1200m Grade Group 3 Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $156,800 .....

READ MORE right-arrow

My Pendant

16/2/19 Flemington Tips and best bets: The Vanity 2019

Distance 1400m Grade Group 3  Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $160,000 .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Ringerdingding

16/2/19 Racing Tips: CS Hayes Stakes 2019

Distance 1400m Grade Group 3 Track Rating Good 4 Prizemoney $160,000 .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Copyright  © 2019 S92 thegreattipoff.com | Stay in Control. Gamble responsibly.