• Join
  • Login
  • GTO Twitter
  • GTO Facebook
  • 15:10:34 AEST
  • Sunday, 27 May 2018
Caulfield Racecourse

Race Preview: CF Orr Stakes 2018

Tagged: Caulfield

G1 CF Orr Stakes: Fitness edge the key at Caulfield

Saturday at Classic Caulfield makes for a great edition of the Group 1 C.F. Orr Stakes. This race always includes some big names returning after last Spring heroics, but also includes those who do have runs under their belt which could be telling.

Speed will be vital and historically if it is slowly run it makes it near impossible for the resuming staying types to run on, and the horse with the tactical speed can hold a significant advantage.

  Race Track Traits

Caulfield is currently rated a Good 3, and with scattered showers predicted throughout Melbourne on Saturday, can only get a bit worse if at all. The track has been racing well over the past two weeks where the rail has been out 9m for both meetings, and it is now back to the true position with a close watch on any early perceived track bias a must.

 

 Market Movers

The market has been relatively quiet for this Group 1, with a slight drift for favourite Tosen Stardom $4.40 out to $4.60, and Brave Smash out to $8.50 from $7 openers. There has been some support for Thronum $12 into $10 and Mr Sneaky into $9 from $10.

 

 Key Runners

#1 Hartnell  $5.50 

On his day would simply brain them! But he has had plenty of time off (13 weeks) since his 20 of 23 finish in the Melbourne Cup and only one trial albeit impressive. A number of these will have the fitness edge and it would be a mighty effort to win first-up. The Melbourne Cup run may have blunted his sprint, and suspect this will be too short. 

 

#2 Black Heart Bart $7 > $6.50

An absolute warrior and is always up for these big Group 1 contests. Suspect he is far from his best, and this started to show in his previous two Group 1 starts in Perth against weaker opposition.  Still there is plenty in his favour: he loves the track and trip here at Caulfield (6:4:1:1) and is almost always contesting at the highest level. Can run well.

 

#3 Tosen Stardom  $4.40 > $4.80

“Dropped from the Clouds on them” for one of the most impressive wins during the Spring Carnival in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes over 1600m. Has had 13 weeks off since and has never won over this trip. Darren Weir and Damien Lane are a lethal combination and whilst there is plenty against could easily blow them away.

 

#4 Brave Smash $7.00 > $8.50

Arrived in Australia and quickly became the spruik horse for the Everest after some very impressive lead up runs. He oozes class and has an electric turn of foot. First-up run was good enough at the Valley over 1200m where he appeared to be very fresh, the 1400m contest suits better here. Expect him to take a sit midfield and come with a withering burst late.

 

#7 Mr Sneaky $10 > $9

Had good market support last start at the Valley and ran on well for second. The 1400m on Saturday will suit and he could be great value. Watch for any significant move inside the last few minutes of betting.

 

#8 Thronum $11

On pacer who burnt them off early last start and kicked clear and held on for a brave win at Mooney Valley. Looks the likely leader again with a few other speedsters including Lord Of The Sky, however if he gets it cheap, will still be there digging in for the fight over the last 50m.

 

#9 Dollar for Dollar $16 > $20

Tony McEvoy has a huge opinion of this fellow and the SP profile always suggests he is showing plenty at home. Did not have the best of luck in his past two runs where was caught wide most recently, and could not run on off the slow tempo the start before. Needs a few things to go right and can atone here if the speed is on. Good value.

 

#11 Shillelagh $10 > $8

Likes this distance (8:2:1:1) and definitely has the class with a last start Group 1 victory. The pattern for her is to get back and if the speed is on she wont be too far away. Will be storming home from the tail provided they don't crawl up front.

 

Of The Others….

Mighty Boss can’t be ignored off the back of his Caulfield Guineas win. Michael Walker is engaged for the shrewd Mick Price yard and they can both weave magic.

 

  Selections

1st  Brave Smash – electric turn of foot.

2nd Dollar for Dollar 

3rd Mr Sneaky

4th Thronum

Share On:

Top Stories

Rail image 01 horse racing

Randwick Tips Speed Maps Specials 26 May 2018

The Randwick track is currently rated a Soft 5 with the rail in the true position. Fine weather is forecast al.....

May 26, 2018 07:52AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Rail Image Shade

Randwick Tips 26 May 2018

The Randwick track is currently rated a Soft 5 for Saturday’s racing and should be upgraded to a Good surface by Saturda.....

May 25, 2018 11:58AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Horse racing barriers 2

Sandown Tips: Speed Maps Specials 26 May 2018

This week’s selections feature two runners who should position in the desirable running line, midfield. Given any .....

May 25, 2018 10:24AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Generic Saddle 150118

Saturday Racing Tips at Randwick & Sandown 26 May 2018

We are currently racing on a Soft 5 at Randwick with the rail in the true position for the entire circuit. With fine wea.....

May 25, 2018 09:14AM
READ MORE right-arrow

Betting Offers

click and get your bonus today!

* T's and C's apply to all offers.


Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff


Today's Racing Top 5

HOLDINGACES
Pro
638% POT
Dragons26
Punter
243% POT
danzak
Pro
120% POT
SANDGROPER
Punter
88% POT
EvilMonkey
Pro
50% POT
Full Leaderboard
Nick Quinn
152% POT
Michael Manl..
152% POT
Matt Jones
120% POT
Terry McAuli..
87% POT
Paul Dolan
82% POT
 
Nick Quinn 152% POT
Matt Jones 120% POT
Terry McAuli.. 87% POT
Julie Rowlan.. 32% POT
Greg Polson - 43% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

Generic Saddle 150118

Saturday Racing Tips at Randwick & Sandown 26 May 2018

We are currently racing on a Soft 5 at Randwick with the rail in the true position for the entire circuit. With fine wea.....

READ MORE right-arrow

EarlyMarketMovers

Market movers in early betting at Doomben & Randwick 25 May 2018

As the Brisbane carnival continues to roll on we have identified where professional money has been active in early m.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Impending 100617

Doomben Racing Kingsford Smith Cup 2018

The leading Stradbroke contenders line up here for another Group 1 hit out prior to the big one. The Doomben 10,000 form.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Doomben 230518

Doomben Racing Queensland Oaks Preview 2018

The Queensland Oaks represents Brisbane’s chance to host the country’s best 3yo staying fillies this week. .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Horse racing game

Horse racing tipsters of the week 22 May 2018

The weekly stats on today's leader board have West Australian punter Sandgroper at the top of the pile after ma.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Bookie Ring 060218

Canterbury Tips 23 May 2018

Midweek NSW racing moves to Canterbury on Wednesday and with sunshine forecast, the track is likely to be rated a Good 3.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Copyright © 2018 S92 thegreattipoff.com | Stay in Control. Gamble responsibly.