Betting moves at Caulfield & Warwick Farm in early markets

• Feb 09, 2018 02:05 AM
• Author: Mike Steward

Finding the smart money in early betting markets for Saturday racing

Last Saturday's report reeled off another set of winners leaving punters in the black to the tune of 75% profit on turnover. Our report found 2/3 winners at Rosehill from 3/7 winners at Caulfield last week giving punters a serious leg-up once again.

Determined to make it three solid Saturday's in a row the team have worked hard analysing the betting moves at Caulfield and Warwick Farm over the past 40 hours to come-up with this week's early betting movers report.

 

Caulfield Betting Moves

NATIVE SOLDIER

Was well beaten by Ollivander three starts back at this track and distance. Led from the jump that day which was very different to the two runs that followed which he won. His most recent win at the Valley was very impressive. A definite improver and can turn the tables here.

 

SUPER CASH

Won first-up at this track and distance twice in the past 12 months. Add to that a 4/5 fresh record and wins over the best sprinters in the country makes him a solid prospect here.

 

FLAMBERGE

Carried 61.5kg and didn't have the easiest run home in listed company last start and still managed a respectable 0.6L fourth first-up. Proven second-up and gets conditions to suit. Looks a great multi-bet with Super Cash in the Rubiton Stakes.

 

VILLERMONT

Expecting solid pace in this race which suits the winning style we saw in his final effort last preparation to win the Sandown Guineas.  Looked good in his trial coming into this. Contender.

 

SCARECROW

Looks a different horse since gelded. Undefeated in two starts since that gear change, winning easily against arguably inferior opposition. Tricky gate over this course. If he manages to get cover he's a genuine chance.

 

Warwick Farm Betting Moves

BEIJING BOARD

Working up to this race nicely with two wins at 1800m and 2200m leading up to it. Expecting pace on here which suits.

 

XEBEC

Last three runs have been solid. Looks to be rock hard fit for the 2400m, a distance he has won at. Another who is suited with pace on in this race.

 

BONNY O'REILLY

Lots of boxes ticked here. First-up, early speed and class. See here getting to the lead here without spending too much petrol which may just be a race winning advantage. Top hope.

 

ECHO EFFECT

Forgive his last first-up effort when nothing went right. Has won first-up, 2/2 at this distance and rates went against his rivals here. Looks to be some genuine pace in the race which will suit his back marker racing style. Contender.

 

FICKLE FOLLY

Should position just off the speed. Showed a lot of character at her recent outing when racing wide throughout only to fade in the final moments before the post. Tougher competition here but drops considerably in weight too. Chance.