Racing Ground

11/02/2010 Horse Racing Tips

Strike Rate important to punters

We thought we better revisit the topic of tipster performance and how best to measure it given the emails and comments we continue to receive about this matter. Several months ago when we asked you for your opinion you told us that a tipster's performance should be judged on the money they put in the punter's pocket. The varying views we have received since this time stem from how one determines the profit.

The voting poll we ran several months ago indicated that Win Profit was the most appropriate meausure to determine a tipster's performance. Each way profit ran a close second. What you have told us since this time is that strike rate is also an important factor. Tipsters with a high strike rate may be even more valuable than a tipster with a high win profit percentage and lower strike rate as the punter may chose a different staking plan that achieves a greater return than a unit the win or each-way. As an example, one of our readers outlined their staking plan to be trippling bets where the runners are under each-way odds. Applying this sort of staking plan to our pro tipsters would favour tipster's like Ernie Manning who has a win strike rate of 57% and an average win price of $2.18. But not so much for Shane Anderson who has a strike rate of 29% and an average win price of $4.51.

We re-ordered the leader board by win strike rate and included the important average win price and the tipster's position on the Win Profit leader board to understand the impact strike rate performance has on the Top 20.



Several inclusions in the Top 20 that are further down the list on the win profit leader board include:

  •  #4 Jay Rooney - 24th on leader board at -8%
  • #9 Terry McAuliffe - 36th on the leader board at -15%
  • #11 Deane Lester - 34th on the leader board at -14%
  • #17 Nick Quinn - 40th on the leader board at -17%

Another interesting observation is that seven of the Top 10 above have average win priced winners under $3.00.

The message we took from this analysis is that we need more information from the tipster. In conjunction with their tips the punter needs to understand the tipster's staking plan. That way there is no guessing how the punter is expected to use the tips.

In regonition of this opportunity theGreatTipOff.com will introduce staking with its next release so the tipster can record their own staking plan with their tips. TheGreatTipOff.com will use the tipster's stake in conjunction with their tips to rank the tipster.

Stay tuned for this enhancement along with other major enhancements at theGreatTipOff.com that promise to give tipsters the most unique and powerful promotion platform and tipster market service on the internet.

Share On:

Author Biography

Mike Steward

Mike Steward

Mike has an entrenched love for a flutter having grown up in country Victoria. Blessed with a numerical mind, he has a passion for identifying trends and patterns within betting markets, always on the lookout for opportunities to fill punters’ wallets.

Top Stories

16/01/21 Horse Racing Tips at Launceston

Launceston is the venue for Saturday night racing in Tasmania, with an eight- race card for punters to tear apart. At.....

Jan 16, 2021 12:10PM
READ MORE

16/01/21 Saturday racing tips and best bets

Horse racing tips from Rick Morris Back Rick's HOT Bets! Rick tipped 2 winners at the Gold Coast last Saturday! .....

Jan 16, 2021 12:02PM
READ MORE

16/01/21 Flemington Tips for Saturday Racing

Flemington plays host to a strong Saturday card this weekend, with big competitive fields the theme of the afternoon. .....

Jan 16, 2021 01:58PM
READ MORE

15/01/21 SKY Racing Tips Review

SKY Racing Tipster Weekly Wonders Tipster Profit / POT   Colin Hodges (NSW.....

Jan 15, 2021 05:54PM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Top 5 Tipsters

425% POT
Get Tips
2.  THEEPROFILER
PRO
388% POT
3.  theMunch
PUNTER
367% POT
4.  sneakypete92
PUNTER
280% POT
5.  Justin Boccardo
PRO
250% POT
View Full Leaderboard

Next Race to Jump

KEMPTON R1 Tip
GOLDEN GATE R6 Tip
SANTA ANITA P.. R7 Tip
GOLDEN GATE R7 Tip
SANTA ANITA P.. R8 Tip
GOLDEN GATE R8 Tip
TOULOUSE R1 Tip
GAVLE R1 Tip
GAVLE R5 Tip
GAVLE R6 Tip
GAVLE R7 Tip
GAVLE R8 Tip
MANUKAU R1 Tip
MANUKAU R2 Tip
HEALESVILLE R1 Tip
MANUKAU R3 Tip
HEALESVILLE R2 Tip
MANUKAU R4 Tip

More Racing news you might like

15/01/21 SKY Racing Tips Review

SKY Racing Tipster Weekly Wonders Tipster Profit / POT   Colin Hodges (NSW.....

READ MORE

15/01/21 Racing.com Tips review

Racing.com Tipster Weekly Wonders Tipster Profit / POT   Clint Hutchison (.....

READ MORE

16/01/21 Rosehill Tips for Saturday Racing

Sydney metropolitan racing returns to Rosehill on Saturday for its first meeting of 2021, with nine races set to be.....

READ MORE

16/01/21 Horse racing tips from early market movers

Our proven model which detects smart moves in early markets identified $10 winner Never Again in the feature stakes race.....

READ MORE

16/01/21 Saturday racing tips: Lays of the Day

This week we are backing up with a popular Godolphin runner, who has already featured in this column when beaten as a sh.....

READ MORE

15/01/21 Moonee Valley Tips for Twilight Racing

Moonee Valley Tips from Rick Morris The Valley hosts its first meeting of the year on Friday night, with a .....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2021 S92 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.