7/12/19 Horse racing tips from early market movers

We struck early last week, getting punters off to a flyer with winners in each of the first races at both Moonee Valley and Rosehill. 

This week punters are at it again, identifying the mispriced horses and giving us an excellent lead via the money trail.

As always, look for a further push in betting close to start time for extreme confidence. 

 

Pakenham  

 

Neighbourhood 

Was very dynamic at Sandown first-up, where she settled midfield before charging home late to score.

She should take good improvement second-up and has found a race where the genuine tempo should suit.

Expect her to rattle home over the top again here. 

 

Lynch Mob 

The stable whispers are that he is ready to fire now, following two sound runs this time in where he wasn't far off the winner in each. 

He is looking for 2000m and should race midfield with cover, before peeling at the right time.

This race appears to lack depth and he can take advantage. Yes. 

 

Odeon 

Is very good on his day, having placed in Group One grade earlier in his career.

He will be asked to carry plenty of weight (60kg), however the claiming rider will take off 3kg which will help.

I expect that they will opt to race in a forward position or lead, and any cheap sectionals should see him winning. 

 

Chapada   

Has come via the Zipping Classic at Sandown, where he ran home well to place 3 of 10.

This looks slightly easier and he is now reaching peak fitness, after 4 runs back this preparation.

Can improve again. 

 

Rosehill 

 

Hinchbeast   

Came out and won well here on debut in ultra impressive time.

He was well backed to start favourite at his first race start and clearly has above average ability.

This field appears to have slightly more depth, however he looks a good one and can improve again.  

 

Mangione    

Is from the shrewd Waller yard who have found Nash Rawiller to ride, an excellent lead in itself.

Rawiller’s manager is ex-Waller employee and confidant Liam Prior, who would be receiving all the favours from the stable.

Trust the manager has identified the right ride here, after having first choice of all the Waller runners entered. 

 

Invictus Salute   

Was a well-deserved winner at this track and distance last start, after racing well early in the preparation.

His trainer Mark Newnham is fast becoming one of Sydney’s best, and he seems to place them impeccably.

He should lead here and be very hard to run past. 

 

Burning Crown   

Won well at Newcastle last start, when he led and gave a great kick to hold on.

He can lead again from the ideal draw in gate 5 and it would take a brave rider to take him on.

Should be far too dominant from out in front. Yes.  

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