AscoFinish Line

7/12/19 Ascot tips and best bets

Best in the West on Kingston Town Stakes Day

The Masters series carnival at Ascot wraps up this week, as the Kingston Town Classic rounds off a hat-trick of Saturday Group 1 racing in Perth.

The track will be rated a Good 4 and the rail is in the true position, which can suit runners on the inside pad.

With South-Westerly winds predicted, I'm looking for runners who can find cover in the running which should give them an edge.

There a few horses outlined below that look very well placed in their respective races.   

 

Justin's tips have yielded 4% POT over the past 365 days.

Below are his three best bets for Saturday's Ascot meet, however you can get access to all of his selections in his tipping package here

You can also receive alerts when he tips by subscribing here, so that you never miss out! 

 

Race 4  QUAYCLEAN HANDICAP 1200m (BM72+)

The speed here is expected to be good, with The Nicconian and Carocapo leading ahead of Prevailing Winds and One Short.

Rebel Knight (6) was a good thing beaten last week. He was held up until about the 75m mark in that run, before producing an eye-catching finish when clear.

He strikes another winnable race here, with good tempo which will suit. An extra 100m and wide draw are both positives.

Expect Pike to find some midfield cover and finish over the top of these for a deserved win. 

Carocapo (5) would've been given no chance by his backers in running last start after settling midfield. However, he was able to produce a surprising strong finish to claim victory.

He maps to breeze outside The Nicconian, but if he misses the kick again he'll be back in the field. This will make his task much harder to chase down Rebel Knight.

Settlers Creek (10) put in a nice run first-up, coming from the rear to finish midfield. He maps to settle towards the back of the field again from the wide gate and can run into a placing at nice odds.

The Nicconian (3) has had excuses at both runs this campaign. He maps to lead here and is the one they'll have to catch.

Horse Racing Tips Race 4 Tips

1st  Rebel Knight

2nd  Carocapo

3rd  Settlers Creek

4th  The Nicconian 

 

Race 6 ASCEND SALES-JUNGLE DAWN CLASSIC 1400m (Listed)

The speed here is expected to be moderate, with Snowchino being the leader. I think this is a two horse race for the same pair that ran the quinella two weeks ago.

With the inside draw, Beautiful Mind (1) should get the box seat behind the leader and do no work in the run. With even luck, she can get a run up the rails as Snowchino rolls off on turning for home. 

Her sprint isn't quite as sharp as Electric Light, so the step-up to 1400m should be in her favour. She also gets a 1kg weight swing on that runner. Look for Beautiful Mind to turn the tables this week.

Electric Light (10) is the clear danger and obvious favourite, following her win in the Jungle Mist two weeks ago.

She'll likely settle last in running off a slow tempo, which will require a big effort. However the 'Wizard' William Pike is riding in great form and can win from anywhere.

Lady Sass (5) was disappointing in her last few runs, but she does have good ability and seems to be suited when running fresh over the shorter distances. She get's that here and I expect her to run a nice race.

Snowchino (2) should be able to lead and control the tempo of the race.

Horse Racing Tips Race 6 Tips

1st  Beautful Mind

2nd  Electric Light

3rd  Lady Sass

4th  Snowchino

 

Race 7 GLENROY CHAFF-AJ SCAHILL STAKES 1400m (Group 3)

The speed here is expected to be very good, with Wrinkly and Baraki Beats ensuring a fast tempo. Look for Abdicator to have the drop on the pair. 

No prizes here for picking Flirtini (6) and you can expect her to be a very popular pick around the country.

She had a brilliant run in the Winterbotton Stakes and was the only horse to make any impression from the rear of the field. 

In doing so, she clocked the fastest last 1000, 800, 600, 400 and 200m sectionals of the race.

The rise to 1400m should be no concern and on her sole run over this distance previously, she split Lady Cosmology and Arcadia Queen. The week back-up should also be no concern, as she has handled that previously and run well. 

Stageman (8) has been very unlucky at his last two, but his racing pattern does him no favours. He will need luck from back in the field again here, but he does have a good turn of foot when clear.

The Celt (1) was brilliant in the Colonel Reeves, chasing the hot tempo and running second to Flirtini. He will once again get a soft run near the speed and be chasing hard. However, he meets Flirtini 2.5kg worse off for that race, which won't help his cause. 

Profit Street (5) was a strong first-up run for Lindsey Smith. He has always shown flashes of ability, but is getting on now being an eight-year-old. He will appreciate the fast run race and be flashing home late. 

Horse Racing Tips Race 7 Tips

1st  Flirtini

2nd  Stageman

3rd  The Celt

4th  Profit Street

This is just a few of the many Ascot tips available for Saturday's racing in our Tip Market.

Share On:

Author Biography

Justin Boccardo

Justin Boccardo

Justin has a strong knowledge of WA provincial and metropolitan tracks and thoroughbreds. He limits his focus to this area of racing as his experience has indicated that it is more predictable. Justin's analysis identifies trends in runners and applies speed maps and sectional data to find his winners. He assesses markets and looks for value runners to back.

Top Stories

18/01/20 Harness racing tips: Albion Park

Back for the new year for Metro racing at Albion Park.  The track has played fine of late and I expect no bias or .....

Jan 17, 2020 12:17PM
READ MORE

18/1/20 Rosehill tips and best bets

Rosehill Gardens plays host to a competitive nine-race card this Saturday.  With 10-30mm of rain predicted to fall in S.....

Jan 17, 2020 05:45PM
READ MORE

18/1/20 Flemington Tips and best bets 18 January 2020

Flemington hosts a second consecutive Saturday meeting this weekend, with twilight racing giving punters plenty to ponde.....

Jan 17, 2020 05:45PM
READ MORE

18/1/20 Ascot tips and best bets

Racing returns to Ascot this Saturday following a weekend down at Pinjarra, which should be our second 'metro' track if .....

Jan 17, 2020 03:59PM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Today's Racing Top 5

Trialandivrb..
Punter
470% POT
SANDGROPER
Punter
430% POT
Blaster
Pro
230% POT
Gartman
Punter
220% POT
THEGRIMREAPE..
Pro
220% POT
Full Leaderboard
Harry White
240% POT
Stephen Rodg..
185% POT
Nick Quinn
105% POT
Warren Huntl..
105% POT
Brendan Dela..
- 25% POT
 
Harry White 240% POT
Stephen Rodg.. 185% POT
Nick Quinn 105% POT
Warren Huntl.. 105% POT
Ray Thomas - 50% POT
 

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like

18/1/20 Ascot tips and best bets

Racing returns to Ascot this Saturday following a weekend down at Pinjarra, which should be our second 'metro' track if .....

READ MORE

18/1/20 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free racing tips from Michael Gannon Michael's tips have generated $11,815 profit from $100 win bets since May 2015.  .....

READ MORE

18/1/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

Last week we enjoyed a healthy strike rate at the Gold Coast Magic Millions meeting, with 3 of our 4 selections saluting.....

READ MORE

Tom Waterhouse Tips: Review

They reckon that there's only two certainties in life: death and taxes. But I'd argue there's one more.....

READ MORE

Eagle Farm Tips and Best Bets 18 January 2020

Queensland racing heads to Eagle Farm this Saturday, where a bumper nine race card is scheduled. There is a chance of s.....

READ MORE

Horse racing Lays of the Day 18 January 2020

We managed to get both hot-pots beaten last week, when The Candy Man caved in under the big weight and Bumper Blast blew.....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2020 S92 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.