MarkeMovers

21/11/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

Provincial Plunges

Racing moves beyond the metropolitan venues this Saturday, to provide two key provincial racetracks with their feature day in the sun.

Punters have been active in early betting markets at both venues, with strong support seen for a number of city class horses listed below.

The smart money has flowed throughout the week and if it continues to come for the below runners, you can bet with confidence.

 

Ballarat Tips

Ballarat Tips

 

Wahine Toa

Has blinkers applied for the first time which should have her very sharp for this.

She chased hard at Moonee Valley last start over 2500m to place 2 of 10, when finishing only 1.5 lengths off the winner.

The extra distance (2600m) here suits and it will allow her to grind home over the top. Yes.   

 

Ranveer

The strong early betting action on this untrialled two-year-old clearly suggests he has been showing the stable plenty behind closed doors.

From barrier 2 the rider has options, however I expect them to simply jump and run and it would be no surprise to see him leading throughout.

The booking of Ben Melham also shows good intent, as he is usually in high demand.

Expect the colt to go very close on debut.

 

All Too Royal

Has a touch of class after contesting races in much higher grade than this. These include the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate and Group 2 Rubiton Stakes.

He strikes a weak race here and given his experience at Stakes level, I expect him to be the leading contender.

From gate 5 the rider can either push forward to take up the lead or find a position midfield in the moving line.

Can bounce back to winning form.

 

Right You Are

Put in a huge run last start at Flemington last start, when he got back and looked hard ridden before storming home late to only just miss (0.5 lengths).

The second-up record is impressive (2:1-1-0) and I expect him to only improve off the first-up effort.

From the good draw in gate 4, they may opt to ride a fraction closer on this occasion and give the horse an excellent winning chance. Yes.

 

Kembla Grange Tips

Kembla Grange Tips

 

Knight

He led and won well at Newcastle last start when giving nothing else a chance over 1400m.

The stable have booked gun rider Nash Rawiller, which is a strong lead in itself.

The extra distance here out to 1500m looks ideal and now that he is rock hard fit, expect him to simply jump, lead and wins again.

 

Witchita Warrior  

I’m willing to forgive the last start failure at Rosehill, where he simply appeared well below his best (12 of 14) and a post-race vet check confirmed a slow recovery.

Going off his previous form, he appears right in this and if right could easily bounce back to winning form.

He started favourite last start, hence the SP profile suggests he is going well enough. Forgive and get back on-board here.

 

Big Parade

Won with ease at Canterbury to round out last prep when heavily backed late $2.20 into $1.90, before giving nothing else a chance.

He enjoys racing first up (3:2-0-0) and no doubt should be fully wound up for this race.

They are likely to press forward from the wide draw (gate 12) and he appears to have the tactical speed to lead if they choose.

 

Intrepidacious

John O’Shea loves to set one up for a big showing and although the recent good trial form has this mare well found, I suspect that she could start shorter.

The first-up effort at Warwick Farm was excellent, where she was heavily backed late ($4.60 into $4.00) before braining them by 2.8 lengths.

Expect her to find cover in the moving line just behind the leaders, and from there prove very hard to beat.

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Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

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