AscoFinish Line

21/11/20 Ascot Tips for the Railway Stakes & WA Guineas

Perth Plunder

Group 1 racing moves to Perth this week, with the Railway Stakes set to provide punters with an excellent betting opportunity.

The main event is well supported by the Group 2 WA Guineas, where the good quality Perth three-year-old's do battle.

In the big one, I am with a seasoned mare who won a big WA Group 1 around this time last year and who looks cherry ripe for this.

For the feature three-year-old event, I have found one who should find plenty of clean air in the moving line. 

  

Track Conditions

The Ascot track is currently rated a Soft 5, with the rail out 3m for the entire circuit.

Fine conditions are expected for the remainder of the week and on race day. 

With recent rain and plenty of racing at the track over the past few weeks, a close watch is advised on the earlier races to determine any fast lanes or bias. 

 

Ascot Race 6 - WA Guineas 1600m (G2)

The Map Speed Map

A tricky speed map here, with any number of these three-year-old's able to push forward in search of the on-speed positions. 

Panzdown (2) won't be wasting the good draw, and he has the best chance of leading.

Early pressure can also come from Phanta (8), First Law (7) and Gemmas Son (13). 

I expect them to roll along at a good clip, which should give most running positions their chance with a possible slight advantage for midfield or worse run-on profiles. 

 

The Favourite 

Gemma's Son ($5.00) will need to work from the wide draw if they decide to press forward, and is a big risk of being posted wide throughout.

I can't see him getting much shorter than the current price due to the ugly speed map and I suspect that we are currently trading at rock-bottom odds.

He has performed well at stakes level in his past two starts and did grind home well at his latest, when finishing 4 of 11 in the Lee Steere Stakes. 

He certainly would not shock, however I believe we will shop better close to start time. 

 

 Best Racing Tips Horse Racing Tips

Dom To Shoot gets the gun run in transit here, and should find a position midfield in the running line.

I expect horses racing in the moving line to hold an advantage, as those on the rail may strike traffic if the leaders go hard.

Magical Dream has the Bob Peters "secret sauce". Although this may compress the price to a degree, she must be included based on the strong stakes level performances at her past three including a win in the Belgravia Stakes.

She looks sharp and could pick them all up late from a rearward position. 

Patrick Carbery is booked to ride Brave Angel, which is an excellent lead as he is often "the money rider".

She maps well from gate 6 and is from the big-betting Simon Miller yard. A late move in betting would suggest she goes close. Watch the market late. 

Watch Me Dance has a last start win at this track and distance (1600m), which can be all-important.

There's no doubt she will run the trip, and could be one of the strongest late if she has luck weaving a passage through the ruck. Include.  

 

1st  Dom To Shoot

2nd  Magical Dream

3rd  Brave Angel

4th  Watch Me Dance

 

Ascot Race 8 - Railway Stakes 1600m (G1)

The Map Speed Map

Although drawn wide, I expect Gailo Chop (20) and Too Close The Sun (16) to apply their preferred tactics and press forward.

Great Shot (3) also typically shows speed and his draw should allow him to punch up into the firing line early.  

Expect the tempo to be genuine, and the midfield or worse profiles to hold an advantage off a hot speed here. 

Chop

 

The Favourite 

Inspirational Girl ($3.80) is highly talented, but is yet to be tested beyond Group 3 level.

This will be a big challenge and she may well be up to it as this year's race does lack depth, with a lack of the East Coast "big guns". 

William Pike will compress the price artificially due to his popularity, however she has the runs on the board (has won 6 of her past 7) and may well be too good in any case.  

 

Best Racing Tips Horse Racing Tips

Red Can Man was only just collared late (2 of 11) here last start in the Lee Steere Stakes, which looks the right form-line for this race.

I expect a change of tactics and for him to find a moving line position just in behind the speed. Ridden a touch colder he can deliver. 

Inspirational Girl has the great record (10:8-1-1) and looks primed to put in a big performance at her Group 1 debut.

This is such a weak Group 1 event that I am convinced she won't find the class an issue. She will look the winner at some stage.

Kay Cee is a proven Group 1 performer having won her only start in this grade. She is in white-hot form and arrives via the Lee Steere stakes, where she won well.

Expect her to peak up again and is very competitive here. 

Truly Great has won his past four starts and is the perfect "get-back, run-on" profile for this.

Don't be concerned with the wide gate (barrier 18), as he will be dragged back in any case.

Expect him to be the one storming home over the top late.  

 

1st  Red Can Man

2nd  Inspirational Girl

3rd  Kay Cee

4th  Truly Great

 

For a list of all the tipsters who have posted Ascot tips for Saturday's racing meet, checkout the dedicated page at theGreatTipOff.com. 

Share On:

Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

Top Stories

29/11/20 Best Bets for Hobart

Hobart plays host to a small but competitive seven-race card on Sunday afternoon, with the meeting set to get underway a.....

Nov 29, 2020 08:54AM
READ MORE

28/11/20 Harness racing tips for Saturday night

Harness Racing Tips from Michael Johnson Back Michael's HOT Bets! Michael's tips have yielded punters 49% Profit.....

Nov 28, 2020 03:22PM
READ MORE

28/11/20 Deane Lester Tips preview

Victorian racing heads back to the big smoke this Saturday, with plenty of punters keen to put last Saturday's horror sh.....

Nov 28, 2020 10:28AM
READ MORE

28/11/20 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free horse racing tips from Rick Morris Back Rick's HOT Bets! Rick is running HOT! He's strung together 3 winnin.....

Nov 28, 2020 09:40AM
READ MORE

Racing News Topics


Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Top 5 Tipsters

1.
2400% POT
Get Tips
2.  AlanUtterson
PRO
769% POT
3.  EnterPrize
PRO
414% POT
4.  FireUp
PUNTER
340% POT
5.  SIMPLES
PRO
333% POT
View Full Leaderboard

Next Race to Jump

CROMWELL R4 Tip
HANSHIN R2 Tip
MIZUSAWA R1 Tip
TOKYO R3 Tip
CROMWELL R5 Tip
MEADOWLANDS R3 Tip
KILCOY R1 Tip
MOHAWK R4 Tip
ADDINGTON R5 Tip
MEADOWLANDS R4 Tip
HEALESVILLE R5 Tip
MANUKAU R5 Tip
HEALESVILLE R6 Tip
CAPALABA R1 Tip
MANUKAU R6 Tip
HEALESVILLE R7 Tip

More Racing news you might like

28/11/20 Free horse racing tips and best bets

Free horse racing tips from Rick Morris Back Rick's HOT Bets! Rick is running HOT! He's strung together 3 winnin.....

READ MORE

27/11/20 Racing.com Tips review

Racing.com Tipster Weekly Wonders  Blair Gibson (QLD) $1,850 cash profit, 116% POT Foll.....

READ MORE

27/11/20 SKY Racing Tips & Tony Brassel Tips review

SKY Racing Tipster Weekly Wonders  Matthew Jackson (NSW) $1,890 cash profit,.....

READ MORE

28/11/20 Horse racing tips from early market movers

The early money is flowing again this week and we have identified a number of key chances on both major metropolitan rac.....

READ MORE

27/11/20 Canterbury tips and best bets

Canterbury plays host to another cracking Friday night meeting, with 7 races set to be run and won in the twilight .....

READ MORE

28/11/20 Saturday Racing Tips at Rosehill

NSW metropolitan racing returns to Sydney on Saturday, with a strong nine-race card scheduled for the afternoon.  Wit.....

READ MORE

Copyright  © 2020 S93 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.