Flemington Finishing PosShade

9/11/19 Horse Racing Tips for Stakes Day

Flemington Finale

The final carnival day at Flemington appears a great card of racing and will provide punters with plenty of opportunity throughout the day.

Rain is predicted, however you can expect the surface to cope well given the excellent drainage at Flemington. Look for outer lanes to be preferred due to the heavily worn inside section this week. 

There looks to be an abundance of speed in many of the below races and I am focussing on those who exhibit the best run-on profiles.   

 

Race 5 Darley Sprint Classic (Group 1 Mares SW+P) 2000m

Check out our preview of the Darley Sprint Classic here, which includes market moves, track analysis, runner comments and race tips.

 

Race 6 Matriarch Stakes (Group 2 Mares SW+P) 2000m

A fast speed is predicted here, with both Amangiri (5) and Greysful Glamour (16) the two most likely to be in the first pair. Provided they don't take each other on, I expect Greysful Glamour (16) to be the best chance of the on-pace brigade.

With a genuine tempo throughout, Girl Tuesday (13) will be suited. She'll get back from the wide gate and look for a tow in the moving line. Will be charging late. 

I thought Nettoyer (14) was huge odds ($19) after her midfield effort (9 of 16) in the Empire Rose on Saturday. This looks a weaker race and she is another that will appreciate the good speed. 

Another Dollar (7) was excellent at Randwick last start, finishing 2 of 13. She hit the lead close to home in that race, before just fading late. She has a touch of class and must be included in everything. 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Girl Tuesday

2nd  Nettoyer

3rd  Another Dollar

4th  Greysful Glamour 

 

Race 7 Chatham Stakes (Group 3 Handicap) 1400m

This race could develop into warp speed, with Streets Of Avalon (14) and East Indiaman (12) both likely to carve across from wide gates.  A few drawn closer in will also be keen to hunt up.

I want to be with a run-on type and Widgee Turf (1) fits this profile. He'll be able to receive the right run with cover, before presenting late to get home hard.

Noble Boy (11) is also likely to be ridden quietly and can find the moving line at the right time. He will appreciate the wide open spaces of Flemington.

I expect the money comes late for Rich Itch (6), who looks a fraction over the odds at the current $21. He has the right racing pattern to win, being an off-pace runner.

Despite Haunted (13) not mapping well from an outside draw, if he has luck in running and finds cover early, he certainly has the ability to win this.   

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Widgee Turf

2nd  Noble Boy

3rd  Rich Itch

4th  Haunted 

Widgee Turf

 

Race 8 The Mackinnon (Group 1 WFA) 2000m

Read everything you need to know about the Mackinnon Stakes here, including analysis on the track, race tempo, all the key runners as well as our top selections for the Group One feature race.

 

Race 9 Grand Handicap (Benchmark 80) 1100m

Big Reel (13) and Ardeeo (3) should run them along up front. I suspect that both of them won't see it out and are simply setting the race up for a run-on profile.

Morrissy (11) has the tactical speed to take a position midfield. From there, he can watch the fireworks up front before peeling to run home well. Goes on top. 

Loyd Kennewell is very shifty and must have a high opinion of Sweet Snitty (6) to be entered here on a carnival day. He's up in grade, however he can make the leap in class if he's ridden with cover. 

Tahitian Dancer (14) was heavily backed last start ($4.20 to $3.80 late) at Seymour before duly saluting. If she finds cover here, she will be awfully hard to hold out again.

The Adelaide trainers often have success bringing over the right horses during the carnival and Extreme Thrill (18) fits this profile. Currently listed as an emergency, however if she gains a start, watch betting late for a good lead. 

Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Morrissy

2nd  Sweet Snitty

3rd  Tahitian Dancer

4th  Extreme Thrill

Our proofing system gathers selections from Australia's most recognised form experts and validates them providing various profit calculations including staking profit where best bet tips are weighted double.

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Author Biography

James Beeson

James Beeson

James is GTO's resident racing analyst, having had extensive experience in the wagering industry as well as the breeding side of racing.

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