9/11/19 Flemington tips and best bets by Mark Porcheddu

With rain forecast in the lead-up to Stakes Day, Flemington looks set to be rated as Soft 5, with the rail likely to move out 6m the entire circuit. 

As it's the third day of the carnival and with light showers about, the fresh ground towards the middle of the track is likely to be the best going throughout the day. 

 

Mark tipped 3 winners and two-placegetters on Derby Day. Below are three of his top selections for Flemington.

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Flemington Race 5 Darley Classic 1200m

Nature Strip jumps from the widest barrier and will lead them up with ease. The Bostonian and Loving Gaby have both drawn inside, can hold a forward spot in the run, with the favourite Santa Ana Lane likely to settle last. 

Santa Ana Lane loves the Flemington straight and won this race last year. It took a brilliant three-year-old to beat him in the Everest.

In a small field, Mark Zahra can sit closer in the run. From there, Santa Ana Lane can unleash his enormous turn of foot, to fly over the top of them.

Nature Strip was superb in the Everest and also loves Flemington.  Waller has him going better than ever and he poses the greatest threat to the favourite

Rock Magic's run behind Loving Gaby in the Manikato was great. He had the fastest sectionals from the 1000m to the finish and is a big watch.

 

  Mark's Race 5 Tips

1st Santa Ana Lane

2nd Nature Strip

3rd Rock Magic

 

Flemington Race 6 TAB Matriarch Stakes 2000m

Amangiri, Rondinella, Greysful Glamour and Miss Siska will all look to go forward from the gates. 

Girl Tuesday meets Amangiri 8.5kg better for finishing 1.15L behind her last time out at the Valley and has been racing against the A-grade horses in Sydney.

Spanish Reef continues to fly under punter's radar each start. Her win in the Ladies Day Vase two starts back at Caulfield, was terrific.  

Rondinella comes in very well at the weights here. She has very good form finishing close behind Spanish Reef and Princess Jenni of late and looks primed for a strong run here.

 

  Mark's Race 6 Tips

1st Girl Tuesday

2nd Spanish Reef

3rd Rondinella

 

Flemington Race 9 MSS Security Sprint 1200m

Gailo Chop, Aristia, Hartnell and Harlem can all press forward, setting up a fast tempo. 

The Kiwi, Melody Belle was dominant in the Empire Rose and comes into this rich Group One in career best form. 

She's two from two at the distance and will relish any of the predicted rain Flemington is set to receive.

Hartnell lines-up for his last career-run here. He'll be ridden positively from the wide gate and given his great record at the top-level, there is little doubt that he'll once again be fighting out the finish. 

Humidor is a track and distance specialist and if he bounces back to form, he can fight out the finish at attractive odds.  

 

  Mark's Race 9 Tips

1st Melody Belle

2nd Hartnell

3rd Humidor

 

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