Miami Bound

7/11/19 Free Flemington racing tips and best bets for Oaks Day

Best bets on Oaks Day from Michael Gannon

With the dust barely settled from Cup Day, we return the Flemington for day two of the three day Cup Carnival. 

The Group One VRC Oaks for three-year-old fillies is the feature race of the day and a wide-open betting affair, with four-runners vying for favouritism.  

The track is currently rated a Soft 6, with the rail out 6m the entire circuit.

With 1-5mm of showers forecast for Melbourne on Wednesday and again on race day, the track is likely to stay rain affected. 

 

Flemington Race 7 Tip #1 Quick Thinker $5.00

The son of So You Think has had a solid preparation, running well against Sydney's best three-year-old's. 

His 3.6 length 5th behind Shadow Hero and Castelvecchio in the Spring Champion Stakes reads well for a race of this depth. 

He ticks plenty of boxes being a Group Three winner, proven on a rain affected surface and drawn well.

Jumping from barrier 7, look for her to sit on-pace and out of trouble. 

In what looks a race with only three hopes, this runner represents huge value at $5.50. 

 

Flemington Race 8 Tip #1 Miami Bound $3.80

This filly comes out of an impressive win in the Group Two Wakeful and has been given the perfect grounding to run a strong 2500m. 

The run prior to that she finished within 2 lengths of the Victoria Derby winner, Warning. 

I love the fact that she's had two strong runs at 2000m and is now stepping up in distance. 

Damien Oliver is in good form, as are the Danny O'Brien stable. 

She ticks all the boxes and it will take a strong staying filly to beat her. 

 

Flemington Race 9 Tip #2 California Zimbol $2.20

This filly from team Snowden blew them away last start, putting 2.25 lengths on Loving Gaby in the Group Three Thoroughbred Club at Caulfield. 

She did have it her own way out in front in that race, however the win was ultra-impressive.

Franking that form, Loving Gaby went on to win the Group One Manikato Stakes at her next start. 

She's the one runner in this race with plenty of upside and if she goes to another level, she could easily put 4 lengths on her rivals. 

Granted it's her first time down the Flemington straight and she'll have to carry 58kg, but she should prove too good for this field. 

Whilst skinny, the $2.20 quote is reasonable. I expect bookies to take her on late though, which could see her start around the $2.50 mark.   

We have got the only Tip Market online where punters and expert analysts who post free horse racing tips are ranked by their profitability taken from every selection posted.

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Author Biography

Michael Gannon

Michael Gannon

Michael is a life-long punter who enjoys the challenge of unearthing value buried within betting markets. The ex golf pro knows a thing or two about performing under pressure.

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