Kembla Grange is the venue for this Saturday's stand-alone NSW metropolitan meeting.
The feature race of the day is The Gong, a new $1 million event where the bookies have the John Sargent trained Luvaluva marked as favourite. The mare is coming off two impressive lead-up runs and has been set to peak third-up.
With warm weather forecast for the coastal city, the track will be rated a Good 4 and the rail is in the true position.
At this set-up, the track should play fair and give all runners their chance.
Michael's tips have generated $3,150 in profit from $100 win bets over the past 90 days.
This two-year-old colt makes his debut off the back of two nice trials and looks set to fire first-up.
Sitting off-pace in his first trial, he was allowed to extend late and did his best work at the line.
His second trial was a soft hit-out at his home track of Warwick Farm, where he ran under his own steam the entire way.
The intent from Godolphin is clear. Blinkers go on and gun jockey Kerrin McEvoy has been booked for the ride.
In what appears a two-horse race, the $2.60 quote is a fair price.
Kembla Grange Race 3 Tip #7 California Longbow $4.40
The son of Pierro broke through in strong style last start, notching up his first win for this prep.
A winner over 2200m last prep, he looks well suited stepping out to the 2000m here fourth-up.
Jockey Tim Clark sticks aboard and from the perfect draw in barrier four, he can hold a forward position in the run.
This galloper looks set to put in a career-best performance and with an economical run in transit, he should prove far too good for his rivals.
The Group 1 Railway Stakes races in Perth on Saturday and we've got all the Ascot racing tips from top form experts and professional punters in our Tip Market.
Michael is a life-long punter who enjoys the challenge of unearthing value buried within betting markets. The ex golf pro knows a thing or two about performing under pressure.
