AscoFinish Line

23/11/19 Ascot tips and best bets

Best in the West on Railway Stakes Day

Racing fans turn their attention to the west this week, as the Group 1 Railway Stakes headlines a competitive nine race card at Ascot.

This meeting kicks off a triple-treat for punters at Western Australia's headquarters with a run of Group 1 race days to come over the next few weeks including the Winterbottom Stakes and Kingston Town Classic.

Fine conditions are predicted for Perth over the coming days and punters should expect a Good 4 racing surface. 

The rail is out 2m for Saturday's meeting, which should give all runners an even chance.

 

Justin has had 4 profitable tipping days from his last 5.

Below are his three of his Ascot best bets for Saturday, however you can get access to all of his selections in his tipping package here

You can also recieve alerts when he tips by subscribing here, so that you never miss out! 

 

Race 4 Listed Placid Ark Stakes 1200m (3YO, SW+P)

Expect a strong tempo in this race. Ziebell will likely cross from wide to lead, whilst Boombastic takes a sit behind him.

This looks a race that can be narrowed down to two in Massimo and Niccovi. I expect Massimo's strength through the line to prove the difference.

Massimo (5) was strong in a fast run 1100m last start. He drops 3kg from that race and a fast 1200m hit-out looks like it will suit this horse. Look for Pike to get one off the fence midfield, where he can time his run perfectly.

Niccovi (6) returns from a nice spring Melbourne campaign and has an explosive turn of foot. She'll also appreciate the tempo and maps to settle behind Massimo. Simon Miller loves carnival time and she can sprint over the top of them.

Ziebell (9) has speed to burn and will be in front for a long way. However the horse just isn't suited at the set weight and penalties, considering that he concedes 3.5kg to Massimo following the last start defeat. No knock on him otherwise.

Mini Winnie (8) doesn't look like a winning chance considering the rise in class here. He wasn't disgraced behind Amelia's on Fire first-up however, and then he managed to break his maiden status with an impressive win last start. He can flash home late here.

Horse Racing Tips Race 4 Tips

1st Massimo

2nd Niccovi

3rd Ziebell

4th Mini Winnie

 

Race 5 Listed Carbine Club of WA Stakes 1400m (3YO&Up, SW+P)

Speed should be very good in this race, with Wrinkly leading and Alpha Sky taking a trail. 

Uni time (5) has always shown strong potential. It looks like he’s putting it all together this preparation and doing so very impressively.

In what should be a fast run race, he maps for the perfect midfield trail one off the fence and should be sprinting over the top of these.

Tally's (2) ticks alot of boxes being a last start Rosehill winner, from the smart Godolphin stable and has Damien Oliver on board. He should be next to Uni Time throughout and you can expect them to make their run together. Can't dismiss.

Alpha Sky (3) was good in the Asian Beau, running fourth behind three live chances in the Group 1 Railway Stakes. Look for him to settle on-speed behind Wrinkly and look the winner at some stage.

Wrinkly (11) fell away in the Asian Beau, but put in a strong effort behind Abdicator last start. He'll give them something to chase.

Horse Racing Tips Race 5 Tips

1st Uni Time

2nd Tally

3rd Alpha Sky

4th Wrinkly

 

Race 7 Group 2 WA Guineas 1600m (3YO, SW)

Speed should be good in the WA Guineas, with War Saint and Widespread holding a spot from their low draws. Look for Native Chimes to come across and look for a spot from the wide draw.

Dig Deep (10) won the Karrakatta as a two-year-old and will be keen to add another Group 2 feature to his resume. This horse has been building up to this race perfectly, following an eye-catching run in the Fairetha Stakes over 1400m. The step-up to a mile will suit perfectly.

He's drawn wide, but he naturally gets back so it’s not a huge concern with the good tempo and Damien Oliver on board. At the set weights, this horse looks very hard to beat.

Jericho Missile (12) was just knocked off in the Fairetha, after sustaining a wide run. He should lose no admirers from that run and has a strong turn of foot. Look for him to make his run down the middle of the track with Dig Deep.

Special Choice (4) encountered a few issues in the Champion Fillies last weekend and still ran admirably. She’s another who maps for a perfect midfield trail just off the speed. She has ‘The Gun’ on board and can't be discounted.

Red Can Man (5) had a strong win in the Fairetha and maps to get a very similar trail here. The mile shouldn't pose an issue, however he does concede 3.5kg to Dig deep and Jericho Missile from their last encounter.

Horse Racing Tips Race 7 Tips

1st Dig Deep

2nd Jericho Missile

3rd Special Choice 

4th Red Can Man

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Author Biography

Justin Boccardo

Justin Boccardo

Justin has a strong knowledge of WA provincial and metropolitan tracks and thoroughbreds. He limits his focus to this area of racing as his experience has indicated that it is more predictable. Justin's analysis identifies trends in runners and applies speed maps and sectional data to find his winners. He assesses markets and looks for value runners to back.

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