• Join
  • Login
  • GTO Twitter
  • GTO Facebook
  • 23:45:54 AEST
  • Monday, 19 August 2019
  • Gamble Responsibly 18+

Flemington Tips: Empire Rose Stakes 2018

Top shelf fillies and mares hunt spring riches

Distance 1600m
Grade Group 1
Track Rating Good 4
Prizemoney $500,000
Class WFA, 3yo and Up Fillies and Mares (no maidens)
2017 winner Shoals ($5)

A high quality group of fillies and mares have assembled here in an intriguing betting affair, where the Thousand Guineas winner Amphitrite is likely to jump favourite.

Many of these have been up for a very long time now and this deep stage of the prep can throw up some interesting results. However as always, we have to respect recent winning form and trust these runners are not yet "over the top".

I've settled on one that will race back in the field and should arrive on the line in the nick of time. 


Race Track Race Flemington Track Traits

Flemington is currently rated a Good 4 with the rail in the true position for the entire circuit and fine conditions predicted for Saturday.

With the rail in the true, expect both on pace and run on profiles to get their chance over the 1600m. As always, it is worth watching early races, as on occasion the Flemington rail can be on fire, giving a significant advantage to horses racing on, or close to it. 


Market Movers Racing Market Movers

There have been no significant moves in early betting, aside from small interest seen for Shillelagh who has firmed from $8.50 into $7.50, and Oohood into $8 from $9.


Horse Racing Key Runners

#1 I Am A Star  $10 > $13

Has led and dictated at her past two outings when getting away with murder up front to win on both occasions.

I doubt she gets it all her own way on this occasion with Shumookh likely to take control from the onset. She will be almost certainly ridden against her preferred pattern and that is of significant concern.

Up in grade and ridden upside down. No.


#2 Invincibella  $7.50 > $10

On her day has been one of the most dynamic mares this Spring, where two back she brained a good quality field in the Group 2 Blazer Stakes at Flemington.

At her latest outing they just went far too slow for her when Shumookh crawled in front and kicked away. She was still brave enough to run second on that occasion.

Love her speed map profile from gate 12 where she can cruise across to find a running line midfield. From there expert her to simply peel wide and run home over the top of them all. Must go on top.


#3 Shillelagh  $8.50 > $7.50 

Always a bridesmaid never a bride, and that looks likely to continue here.

She is a big chance of getting buried well back along the inside, only to see daylight when it is all over. Last start was okay when 4 of 18 in the Toorak behind Land Of Plenty, however she appeared to have her chance.

Granted this is an easier assignment, however could not get warm about the current $7.50 in betting. Expect a dramatic market drift. No.


#5 Aloisia  $8.50 > $9

Is only third-up here which makes her much fresher than many of these. That could be telling as she did improve significantly second-up in the Group 2 Tristarc and who knows how much more is to come here for this run.

Love that she is less exposed than most of her opposition, and the stable could have timed it to perfection.

May surprise a few judges at odds.   


#9 Shumookh  $9.50 

Will lead and is a great chance of dictating to them all again following a dominant on-speed display at Caulfield in the Tristarc when she ran away from them all.

From gate 7, Tim Clark will carve across and control it for a long way.

They may try to take her on early and that is why I am slightly leaning towards a run-on profile, however expect her to be right there in the finish. Top hope. 


#13 Oohood $9 > $8 

Was a huge run against the boys in the Caulfield Guineas where she ran on strongly to grab third.

She oozes quality and deserves another big scalp this prep after breaking her maiden in the Group 1 Flight Stakes at Randwick two starts back.

Slight question mark she is rapidly approaching the "over the top" period in her preparation, however on recent runs she must be included in everything. Yes.


#15 Amphitrite  $4.60 > $4.80

Brained them in the Thousand Guineas last start and was also very dominant the start before in the Edward Manifold. No reason the winning form can't continue here and she certainly deserves to be hard in the market.

Late money will tell us if she is still up for it after a long campaign. If the money comes in late betting, it would pay to follow. Huge threat. 


Of The Others

None preferred. 


Horse Racing Tips Best Racing Tips

1st  Invincibella

2nd  Shumookh

3rd  Amphitrite

4th  Oohood

There are hundreds more tipsters in the horse racing tips market, including pro punters, experts from the racing media and more.

Share On:

Top Stories

Horse racing barriers 2

16/8/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: David Gately review

Melbourne local David Gately proved his versatiltiy once again last week, finding his followers more profit in Sydney.&n.....

Aug 16, 2019 06:17PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Horse racing general image Melbourne

16/8/19 Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets: Mark Hunter review

With his superb record at the track, plenty of punters were sure to be on Mark Hunter's Flemington tips last Saturda.....

Aug 16, 2019 05:57PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Caulfield Finish2

17/8/19 Caulfield tips and best bets for Saturday Racing

Spring is well and truly in the air as Caulfield plays host to a strong nine-race card this Saturday.  The highly tou.....

Aug 16, 2019 04:09PM
READ MORE right-arrow


17/8/19 Horse racing tips from early market moves

A number of vicious moves have been seen in early betting at both Caulfield and Kensington this week. The Caulfield car.....

Aug 16, 2019 01:29PM
READ MORE right-arrow

Racing News Topics

Tweets by @theGreatTipOff

Today's Racing Top 5

410% POT
190% POT
180% POT
125% POT
117% POT
Full Leaderboard
Anthony Coll..
63% POT
Nick Quinn
54% POT
Greg Polson
40% POT
Kim Stewart
20% POT
Gary Harley
3% POT
Nick Quinn 54% POT
Greg Polson 40% POT
Kim Stewart 20% POT
Warren Huntl.. - 8% POT
Matt Jones - 14% POT

Next Race to Jump

More Racing news you might like


17/8/19 Horse racing tips from early market moves

A number of vicious moves have been seen in early betting at both Caulfield and Kensington this week. The Caulfield car.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Randwick Kensington

17/8/19 Randwick tips and best bets for Saturday Racing

The Kensington track plays host to a nine-race card on Saturday, with the Spring Preview Handicap headlin.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Bookie Ring 060218

17/8/19 Free horse racing tips and best bets for Saturday races

Free racing tips from Michael Gannon You can access all of Michael's tips for Saturday's racing on his tips page here. .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Form Guide Lay

18/8/19 Horse racing Lays of the Day 17 August 2019

There was more success for us again last week, after we steered punters clear of two short-priced runners who .....

READ MORE right-arrow

Caulfield Finish3

Best bets for Caulfield Racing 17 August 2019

Melbourne racing tipster and form analyst Mark Porcheddu previews Saturday's Caulfield card, revealing his top three sel.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Caulfield Turn

Belmont best bets and tips 17 August 2019

It's with great excitement that I contribute my first post for theGreatTipOff.com.  Having been a racin.....

READ MORE right-arrow

Copyright  © 2019 S92 thegreattipoff.com
Stay in Control. For gambling help call 1800 858 858 or your local State gambling helpline, Gamblers Help, Mission Australia or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Users must be at least 18 years old.

TheGreatTipOff.com (the "site) is not a bookmaking or wagering website. As such the site does not provide bookmaking or wagering services. We are a tipping and information service site. If you choose to take tips or use information on this website, you acknowledge and agree that you will only wager with licensed service providers for your jurisdiction. For help call 1800 858 858 or visit www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Our full Terms and Conditions are listed here.