Flemington Tips: Best bets on Derby Day 2018

For many punters, the Flemington Derby day card is widely considered the nation's best race day.

This year presents another great card which promises not to disappoint, with a smorgasbord of Group racing.

Race tempo will play a big hand especially in the staying features and this week, we have a sharper focus on runners that should receive favours based on the predicted speed of their races.  

 

Race 1 Carbine Club Stakes

There's plenty of speed here from Yulong January, who will carve across from gate 15 to find the front with ease.

Others who can be close-to-speed in what looks to be only a moderate tempo include Wild Planet and Ranier, who will both be suited by the sit and sprint style of this race and can be ultra dynamic over the final 100m. 

In what is likely to develop into an on speed domination, look for Adana and Vassilator to be storming home late when it is all over. 

 Best Racing Tips

1^st  Ranier

2^nd  Yulong January 

3^rd  Wild Planet

4^th  Adana

 

Race 2 Wakeful Stakes 

The reigning Oaks favourite Verry Elleegant dominates the market here and on paper should be far to good for this field.

However, there does look to be a distinct lack of speed which could make it difficult for the backmarkers to get home hard. 

Best of the on-pace profiles are Sizzleme and Yulong Meteor, who will both keep kicking for a long way in the straight. 

Throw in El Dorado Dreaming as the best run-on hope outside the favourite, following her excellent last start third (against the bias) in the Group 2 Fillies Classic at Moonee Valley.

 Best Racing Tips

1^st  Verry Elleegant

2^nd  Sizzleme

3^rd  Yulong Meteor

4^th  El Dorado Dreaming 

 

Race 3 The TAB Stakes

Speed looks genuine in this with Runson and The Monstar to run them along up front at an even clip.

The quality does drop away rapidly outside of Osborne Bulls, who should have panels on them all following the last start third in The Everest. He will get a long way back but is simply too classy.

Those that can fill the placings include Winter Bride and Savanna Amour, who will both be in ideal midfield striking positions.  

 Best Racing Tips

1^st  Osborne Bulls 

2^nd  Winter Bride

3^rd  Savanna Amour 

4^th  Runson

 

Race 4  Lexus Stakes

Runaway is rock hard fit following his Geelong Cup heroics and will burn out to lead here from the outside gate. 

Others who can ride the speed to good effect are Northwest Passage and Rising Red, who will both be close enough and advantaged provided they don't go warp speed.

Best of the midfield profiles is Gallic Chieftain, who can be a touch closer than some of the more favoured runners, who may get too far back in this. 

 Best Racing Tips

1^st  Runaway

2^nd  Northwest Passage

3^rd  Gailic Chieftan

4^th  Rising Red

 

 

Race 9  Begonia Belle Stakes

Rounding out a mammoth day at Flemington with an intriguing mares only sprint here, where they will fly down the famed straight.

Considering the strong tempo, I'm going to bet around the on-speed profiles and look for runners who can suck up in behind with cover.

These include I Am Excited and From Within, who should both recieve speed map favours in behind the leading division. 

Others who can get home hard off a strong tempo include Grey Shadow and Showpero (huge value). 

 Best Racing Tips

1^st  I Am Excited

2^nd  From Within

3^rd  Grey Shadow

4^th  Showpero

For a full list of tipsters who have posted Flemington Tips go to our page that orders each one in order of the profitability statistics. The most profitable are at the top of the page.