Houtzen 140117

Sandgroper's Victoria Derby day 2017 early oil

Early mail for Vic Derby day from profitable punter Sandgroper

SandGroper is a punter who records his bets at theGreatTipOff.com. Over the past 12 months he has averaged about ten horse racing bets per day, yielding over $1,000 profit per month from $100 win bets.

Remaining profitable for 365 days over a sustained period isn't easy. Sandgroper has agreed to share his best insights every Friday for the weekend's racing with his remaining selections posted in his racing tip package on the racing tip market. Check-out his page here and if there are no tips available at the time click his FOLLOW button and follow the prompts to get alerted when he bets next. 

 

Friday Tips

Bookbuild - Moonee Valley R6 No.4

The son of Choisir put in a couple of fair efforts in his last campaign. He was then gelded and followed with a comfortable Cranbourne trial win on September 18. He returned to racing at Ararat with an emphatic win in impressive fashion having too much pace for his opposition early to find the lead comfortably from barrier 10 and remained in control to the home turn. Bookbuild quickened well under jockey Daniel Moor and maintained his speed to score by 2 ¾ lengths. Ran a solid third in open company at his latest. He’ll only improve so stick with him.

 

Saturday Tips

Octabello - Flemington R1 No.11- he only beat two runners home last start but the run was a complete and utter forgive job. The Price colt was slow out from barrier four and settled in the last couple in a race where the front three travelled in those positions throughout the race. Dunn found himself behind a wall of runners rounding the home bend and prayed for luck in between horses. The breaks never came for Octabello and he went to the line under a firm hold. He would have given the placegetters a scare if a gap opened up for him over the final furlong. 

 

Houtzen - Flemington R5 No.15- get on for the ride of your life, tighten your girth and hold the reins as Jeff Lloyd gives you a run from pillar to post in under 1min 9 sec. Lloyd was impressed with the way she hit the line when she won the Group Three Scarborough Stakes (1200m) at Moonee Valley and should be able to do it again. Trainer Edmonds was privately furious at her McEwen Stakes run when he queried how Williams handled the horse from barrier 1 to finish-up three wide. She started well in the Everest but raced too keenly which took its toll in the latter stages of the race. This Saturday Lloyd needs to jump we11 from barrier 5 and bore straight to the front to give her the best chance of winning and resist seeking cover as she will start reefing and pulling.

 

Cruachan - Ascot R5 No.5- this Godolphin castoff was a winner of two races when trained in New South Wales and looks set for a profitable career in the west after a strong performance on Saturday. Already a winner at Pinjarra since landing in the care of astute trainer Simon Miller late last season, Cruachan was unlucky not to add to his record when steaming home at his first start in three months to finish a close second after being held-up for much of the straight. Everything points to a mile being within scope for Cruachan.

 

Cosmic Storm - Ascot R6 No.2- looks on track to add to her already imposing career record after a strong first-up effort. Settling back near last against some of the best sprinter-milers in the west, Cosmic Storm struggled to secure clear running for the majority of the straight with the field sticking hard against the inside, eventually seeing daylight late to drive through the ruck and finish a close fourth. She won three of the four feature races for mares over the summer carnival last season although it won't surprise if owner Bob Peters has set his sights even higher with Cosmic Storm this time in work. Either way, she is a mare that can be followed with confidence.

 

Express mail  - the run of Qewy  to win  the Bendigo Cup was a tremendous run from a fresh horse and should be cherry ripe for a start in the Melbourne Cup on Tuesday.

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