Nov 02, 2017 03:48 AM
Author: Mike Steward
Massive plunges in early betting on Victoria Derby day
Our early market mover found Hey Doc, the Manikato winner on Friday night, at juicy odds of $21. All eyes are on Flemington this Saturday with all nine races on the program at Group level including no less than four Group 1 races.
Early market moves often result from bets placed by smart punters who have identified winning chances where the bookies' prices are well over the true odds. We've done our homework to identify the early market movers that represent smart money on Victoria Derby day on Saturday.
Raced okay at this track and distance two starts back. Didn't have clear running in the Caulfield Cup at his latest and still managed to finish a respectable distance away. Very impressive in the Naturalism first-up. Has claims.
Margin was unfair at his recent outing in the G1 Golden Rose where he struck interference. Beat Booker before that which gives him Catchy form. Will need the outside lanes to be fair or better on the day. If they are, he has a genuine winning chance at odds.
Has put in two solid runs this preparation as she works up nicely to the mile. Has good third-up form and well drawn for a nice sit in the running. Jumped from a very wide gate at Caulfield on one of the toughest courses for that gate and was forced to race wide for the journey. Right in this red hot race.
Ran 1.25 lengths second behind star three-year-old Aloisa who franked that form again last Saturday when she won with a leg in the air at the Valley. Top hope.
Is putting in a solid preparation. Raced wide without cover when finishing 3.9 lengths behind Ace High then put in a solid sustained run carrying weight at his latest outing. Makes a good case.
Latest win at Seymour by 4L over 2200m suggests he is crying out for extra ground. Looks like he has a big future.
What do you say? Shows the goods each time he goes out but it's now 595 days since his last win. Four times runner-up this campaign. If he stays out of trouble he will be hard to beat.
Plenty to like about his latest effort. Wide throughout and strong finish to just miss winning the Seymour Cup in listed grade. Expect further improvement third-up. Can make his presence felt in a competitive race.
Unlucky first-up then beat Keen Array at his recent outing. That win rates well in this company. Won his only start down the Flemington straight and is 5-2-1 from nine goes at this distance. Genuine winning chance.